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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 61.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 16.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
Result | ||
Oxford United | Draw | Burton Albion |
61.95% ( 0.08) | 21.74% ( -0.04) | 16.31% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 48.87% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.96% ( 0.07) | 48.04% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.79% ( 0.07) | 70.21% ( -0.07) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.04% ( 0.05) | 14.97% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.61% ( 0.1) | 43.39% ( -0.1) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.47% ( -0.02) | 42.53% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.11% ( -0.01) | 78.9% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Oxford United | Draw | Burton Albion |
1-0 @ 12.09% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 61.95% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0) Other @ 0.84% Total : 21.73% | 0-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.26% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 1.67% Total : 16.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
12 | Blackpool | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 27 |
14 | Stevenage | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 26 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 12 |
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