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League One
Northampton Town
League One | Gameweek 17
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Burton Albion

Northampton
2 - 0
Burton Albion

Leonard (54'), Hoskins (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Powell (25'), Lubala (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Northampton 1-3 Barrow
Saturday, November 4 at 1.30pm in FA Cup

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Doncaster 2-1 Burton Albion
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.15pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Burton Albion

 This looks like a very even contest that both sides will feel they can win but would rather not lose. We are expecting a tight match here and feel that these sides will not be separated after 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawBurton Albion
42.1% (0.0019999999999953 0) 27.46% (0.0030000000000001 0) 30.43% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.22% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.82% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)57.18% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.96% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)78.04% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.19% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)26.81% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.9% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)62.1% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.89% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)34.11% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.2% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)70.8% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 42.09%
    Burton Albion 30.43%
    Draw 27.46%
Northampton TownDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 12.03%
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.92% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 3.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 42.09%
1-1 @ 12.94%
0-0 @ 9.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.46%
0-1 @ 9.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.29% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.5% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 30.43%

Head to Head
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 29
Northampton
0-2
Burton Albion

Kioso (64'), Hoskins (82')
Bostwick (77'), Edwards (90+4')
Clare (82')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 13
Burton Albion
1-3
Northampton
Akins (90+2' pen.)
Vassilev (21'), Quinn (88')
Smith (2', 67'), Lines (81')
Chukwuemeka (53')
Jan 5, 2020 2.01pm
Third Round
Burton Albion
2-4
Northampton
Edwards (45'), Fraser (91')
Adams (10'), Watson (23'), Goode (45'), Hoskins (70')
Lines (44'), Wharton (58'), Turnbull (62')
> Match Report
Apr 25, 2015 3pm
Burton Albion
3-1
Northampton
Akins (4', 41' pen.), Edwards (31')
D'Ath (53')
Taylor (78'), Cresswell (87')
Oct 11, 2014 2pm
Northampton
1-2
Burton Albion
Cresswell (80')
D'Ath (66'), Stevens (91')
Blyth (44'), MacDonald (85')
Akins (80')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham25176243182557
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe27167452282455
3Wrexham27157539211852
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield26146639221748
5Stockport CountyStockport27128742281444
6Barnsley2712694037342
7Leyton Orient26125934221241
8Reading2612594038241
9Bolton WanderersBolton27125104041-141
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2611783226640
11Lincoln CityLincoln2710893431338
12Mansfield TownMansfield25114103431337
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham2697103030034
14Blackpool2681083738-134
15Stevenage259792022-234
16Wigan AthleticWigan2696112626033
17Exeter CityExeter2795133036-632
18Bristol Rovers2684142541-1628
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2776144352-927
20Northampton TownNorthampton2769122440-1627
21Burton Albion2749142742-1521
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2656152747-2021
23Crawley TownCrawley2556142546-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2655162646-2020
> League One Full Table


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