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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 45.73%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bristol Rovers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bristol Rovers.
Result | ||
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Northampton Town |
45.73% ( -0.42) | 24.73% ( -0.01) | 29.53% ( 0.43) |
Both teams to score 56.29% ( 0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.47% ( 0.27) | 46.53% ( -0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.19% ( 0.25) | 68.8% ( -0.25) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.58% ( -0.07) | 20.42% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.14% ( -0.11) | 52.86% ( 0.11) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.73% ( 0.43) | 29.27% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.77% ( 0.53) | 65.22% ( -0.53) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Northampton Town |
1-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 45.73% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.73% | 0-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.5% Total : 29.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 29 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Wrexham | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 25 |
4 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 23 |
7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
8 | Barnsley | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 22 |
9 | Reading | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
10 | Stockport CountyStockport | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 21 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 19 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 18 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 17 |
15 | Stevenage | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 17 |
16 | Blackpool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 16 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 11 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 8 |
24 | Burton Albion | 13 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 5 |
> League One Full Table |