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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Stevenage |
43.85% ( -0.15) | 25.54% ( -0.08) | 30.61% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 54.2% ( 0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.47% ( 0.44) | 49.52% ( -0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.44% ( 0.39) | 71.55% ( -0.39) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.48% ( 0.11) | 22.52% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.9% ( 0.17) | 56.09% ( -0.18) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.96% ( 0.38) | 30.04% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.84% ( 0.46) | 66.16% ( -0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Stevenage |
1-0 @ 10.08% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.2% Total : 43.84% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.22% Total : 30.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 46 | 19 | 27 | 63 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 59 |
3 | Wrexham | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 55 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 50 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 48 |
6 | Leyton Orient | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 25 | 15 | 44 |
7 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 44 |
8 | Reading | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 44 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 44 |
10 | Barnsley | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 43 |
11 | Stevenage | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 40 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 39 |
13 | Blackpool | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 38 |
14 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 37 |
15 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 37 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 34 |
17 | Exeter CityExeter | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 32 |
18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 30 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 30 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 28 |
21 | Burton Albion | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 25 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 24 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 23 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
> League One Full Table |