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Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Stevenage

Bristol Rovers
1 - 1
Stevenage

Martin (83')
Finley (37'), Evans (46'), Collins (57'), Crama (84'), Taylor (88'), Gibbons (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Reid (40')
Thompson (33'), Evans (34'), Freeman (45+2'), Wildin (61'), Burns (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 0-0 Port Vale
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Stevenage

Neither team heads into this contest in strong form, but it should be an interesting contrast in styles nonetheless. Evans and Barton are likely to provide plenty of entertainment on the sidelines, and they will be expecting their players to display similar levels of intensity. We can envisage a score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawStevenage
43.85% (-0.154 -0.15) 25.54% (-0.084 -0.08) 30.61% (0.233 0.23)
Both teams to score 54.2% (0.376 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.47% (0.438 0.44)49.52% (-0.443 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.44% (0.392 0.39)71.55% (-0.395 -0.39)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.48% (0.113 0.11)22.52% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.9% (0.171 0.17)56.09% (-0.175 -0.18)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.96% (0.383 0.38)30.04% (-0.387 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.84% (0.461 0.46)66.16% (-0.46299999999999 -0.46)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 43.84%
    Stevenage 30.61%
    Draw 25.53%
Bristol RoversDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 10.08% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.52% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.49% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.74% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.67% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 43.84%
1-1 @ 12.12% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.76% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.056 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 8.14% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.29% (0.05 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.89% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.92% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.046 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 30.61%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Stevenage

Bristol Rovers
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Stevenage
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Stevenage
0-4
Bristol Rovers

Bostwick (25')
Finley (36'), Anderson (50'), Anderson (54'), Collins (74')
Coutts (21'), Finley (67'), Anderson (90')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Stevenage

Harries (50')
Lines (88'), Norris (90+6')
Vancooten (52')
Jan 8, 2020 7.45pm
Round of 16
Bristol Rovers
0-1
Stevenage

Upson (74'), Craig (90')
Upson (87')
Mackail-Smith (17')
Nugent (24'), Kennedy (30'), Denton (45'), Parrett (58'), Vancooten (68')
Apr 19, 2016 7.45pm
Nov 24, 2015 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
20Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122


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