League One | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Brunton Park
Carlisle2 - 1Burton Albion
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-0 Carlisle
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 4-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One
We said: Carlisle United 1-2 Burton Albion
Burton have been flying in recent weeks, moving from the relegation zone to the brink of the play-off spots almost in the blink of an eye. Carlisle, on the other hand, appear set to struggle this season, and we can envisage them falling to a third straight defeat on Tuesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Burton Albion |
41.01% ( -0.77) | 27.07% ( 0.4) | 31.92% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 49.94% ( -1.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
