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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 50.04%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 25.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Portsmouth |
25.58% ( -0.02) | 24.38% ( 0) | 50.04% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.33% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.33% ( -0.02) | 47.67% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.13% ( -0.02) | 69.87% ( 0.02) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.15% ( -0.03) | 32.85% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.58% ( -0.03) | 69.42% ( 0.03) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.92% ( -0) | 19.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.31% ( -0) | 50.69% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Portsmouth |
1-0 @ 6.98% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.43% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.88% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.39% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 25.58% | 1-1 @ 11.55% 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.37% | 0-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.57% 0-2 @ 8.6% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.29% 0-3 @ 4.75% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.19% 0-4 @ 1.97% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 3.13% Total : 50.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
12 | Blackpool | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 27 |
14 | Stevenage | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 26 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 12 |
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