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League One | Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Portsmouth

Reading
2 - 3
Portsmouth

Wing (23'), Savage (27')
Wing (45+5'), Guinness-Walker (52'), Dean (82'), Elliott (90')
Mbengue (90+9')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Anjorin (33'), Bishop (45+9'), Devlin (58')
Mousinho (46'), Robertson (60'), Saydee (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Reading and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 1-2 Fleetwood
Tuesday, October 24 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-0 Portsmouth
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Reading 1-3 Portsmouth

The two sides enter Saturday's contest in contrasting veins of form, and we think that a confident Portsmouth side will prove too strong for the hosts, who have suffered four consecutive defeats. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 45.08%. A win for Reading had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
ReadingDrawPortsmouth
29.52% (0.0020000000000024 0) 25.4% (-0.026 -0.03) 45.08% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.09% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.6% (0.107 0.11)49.4% (-0.11 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.55% (0.094999999999999 0.09)71.44% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.26% (0.056000000000012 0.06)30.74% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33% (0.066000000000003 0.07)67% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.1% (0.052999999999997 0.05)21.9% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.84% (0.082999999999998 0.08)55.16% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Reading 29.52%
    Portsmouth 45.07%
    Draw 25.4%
ReadingDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 7.94% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 4.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.8% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.84% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 29.52%
1-1 @ 12.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.73% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.4% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 10.22% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.16% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 7.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.74% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.76% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.49% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 45.07%

How you voted: Reading vs Portsmouth

Reading
50.0%
Draw
0.0%
Portsmouth
50.0%
12
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2015 7.45pm
Round Two
Portsmouth
1-2
Reading
Chaplin (40')
Blackman (64'), McCleary (84')
Robson-Kanu (45'), Norwood (74')
Aug 16, 2011 7.45pm
Portsmouth
1-0
Reading
Kitson (51')
Mullins (20'), Ward (90')

Hunt (58'), Pearce (85')
Apr 2, 2011 3pm
Reading
2-0
Portsmouth
Long (30', 37' pen.)
McAnuff (40')

De Laet (8'), Mullins (27'), Hogg (90')
Rocha (36')
Aug 14, 2010 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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