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League One
Northampton Town
League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Cambridge United

Northampton
2 - 1
Cambridge

Bowie (49'), Hoskins (55')
McWilliams (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ahadme (77')
Brophy (39'), Digby (79'), Andrew (90')
Digby (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: MK Dons 3-2 Northampton
Tuesday, November 21 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Cambridge United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Peterborough 5-0 Cambridge
Saturday, November 11 at 12pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Cambridge United

 There is very little between these two teams in the league table right now with both of them having tough starts to this season. That is something that could end up being reflected on the day in what is likely going to be a cagey match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 50.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 23.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawCambridge United
50.49% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03) 25.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 23.68% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.09% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.04% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)54.96% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.76% (-0.004999999999999 -0)76.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.19% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)21.81% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.98% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)55.02% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.5% (0.014000000000003 0.01)38.5% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.75% (0.013999999999999 0.01)75.24% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 50.49%
    Cambridge United 23.68%
    Draw 25.82%
Northampton TownDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 12.78%
2-0 @ 9.74% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 4.94% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 4.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.25%
4-0 @ 1.88% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.8% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 50.49%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 8.4% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.44% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 8.02% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.83% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 3.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.85% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.22% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 23.68%

Head to Head
Sep 20, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Northampton
0-2
Cambridge
Okenabirhie (68', 77')
Nov 16, 2021 7.45pm
First Round Replays
Cambridge
3-1
Northampton
Knibbs (13'), Smith (40'), Worman (48')
Rose (75')
McGowan (82')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Northampton
2-2
Cambridge
Etete (6'), Lewis (35')
Horsfall (12'), McWilliams (87')
Smith (14'), Masterson (66')
Smith (63')
Mar 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 40
Cambridge
P-P
Northampton
Oct 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 16
Northampton
2-0
Cambridge
Smith (26'), Taft (45' og.)
Hoskins (45'), McCormack (51')

Lambe (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe1392231161529
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport145632017321
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Crawley TownCrawley143291225-1311
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion130581325-125
> League One Full Table


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