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Cambridge United
League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 13, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Cambridge
2 - 1
Fleetwood

Taylor (71'), Kaikai (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Omochere (77')
Dolan (16'), Heneghan (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fleetwood 1-3 Derby
Saturday, January 6 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 2-1 Fleetwood Town

With just a nine-point gap between the sides, this is a crucial game for both sides, and nerves may be on show. However, we cannot ignore that Cambridge's home advantage could prove key, leading us to predict a hard-earned triumph. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Cambridge United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Cambridge United.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
46.01% (0.017000000000003 0.02) 25.17% (0.0010000000000012 0) 28.82% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.4% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.19% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)48.8% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.09% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)70.9% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.77% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)21.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.86% (0.00099999999999767 0)54.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.06% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)30.94% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.77% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)67.23% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 46%
    Fleetwood Town 28.82%
    Draw 25.17%
Cambridge UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 10.17%
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.89% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.78% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.85%
4-0 @ 1.58% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 46%
1-1 @ 11.94%
0-0 @ 6.57% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 7.71% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 7.01% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 4.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.77% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 28.82%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Fleetwood

Cambridge United
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Fleetwood Town
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Second Round
Cambridge
4-0
Fleetwood
Andrew (7'), Kachunga (11'), Okenabirhie (13'), Ahadme (83')
Okedina (38')

Stockley (65')
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Fleetwood
0-2
Cambridge

Robertson (14'), Brown (15'), Mayor (26'), Vela (30')
Digby (31'), Ahadme (59')
Brophy (28'), Digby (30'), Lankester (73')
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Cambridge
2-1
Fleetwood
Lankester (3'), Smith (57' pen.)
Quitirna (82')
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 30
Fleetwood
1-1
Cambridge
Lane (72')
Camps (73')
Pilkington (65' og.)
May (41'), Okedina (81')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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