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Portsmouth
League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
Fleetwood Town

Portsmouth
1 - 1
Fleetwood

Bishop (45+3' pen.)
Saydee (69'), Scully (90+2'), Sparkes (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Earl (63')
Johnson (0'), Dolan (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Portsmouth 2-0 Fleetwood Town

Portsmouth may have suffered a disappointing defeat in the EFL Trophy in midweek, but they have been in imperious form in the third tier. After winning each of their last four league games without conceding, we think that they will get the better of a struggling Fleetwood side in their final home fixture of the calendar year. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 20.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 1-2 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
PortsmouthDrawFleetwood Town
57.38% (-0.555 -0.56) 21.84% (0.242 0.24) 20.78% (0.315 0.31)
Both teams to score 56.8% (-0.328 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.42% (-0.671 -0.67)41.58% (0.676 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.02% (-0.681 -0.68)63.98% (0.685 0.69)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.72% (-0.393 -0.39)14.27% (0.396 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.94% (-0.774 -0.77)42.06% (0.777 0.78)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.25% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)33.74% (0.080000000000005 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.6% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)70.4% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 57.38%
    Fleetwood Town 20.78%
    Draw 21.83%
PortsmouthDrawFleetwood Town
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
1-0 @ 9.38% (0.151 0.15)
2-0 @ 9.13% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.43% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-0 @ 5.92% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.5% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.13% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.88% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.7% (-0.054 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.22% (-0.055 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.12% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 57.38%
1-1 @ 10.18% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.82% (0.145 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.83%
1-2 @ 5.53% (0.065 0.07)
0-1 @ 5.23% (0.147 0.15)
0-2 @ 2.84% (0.073 0.07)
1-3 @ 2% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.03% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 20.78%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Fleetwood

Portsmouth
93.3%
Draw
0.0%
Fleetwood Town
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Fleetwood
0-2
Portsmouth
Bishop (43'), Pigott (83')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Portsmouth
3-3
Fleetwood
Curtis (45' pen.), Harness (80'), O'Brien (90+5')
Curtis (50')
Pilkington (7'), Biggins (15'), Lane (41')
Lane (57'), Cairns (73'), Harrison (82')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 1
Fleetwood
0-1
Portsmouth
Brown (60')
Brown (24'), Curtis (43'), Freeman (63')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe1392231161529
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport145632017321
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Crawley TownCrawley143291225-1311
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion130581325-125


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