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League One | Gameweek 13
Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Portsmouth

Northampton
0 - 3
Portsmouth


Bowie (47')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Raggett (11'), Lane (26', 48')
Norris (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Portsmouth

Portsmouth will be looking to claim all three points to help in their promotion fight, but we think that they may be held to a draw by Saturday's hosts, who are unbeaten in four home league games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawPortsmouth
29.59% (0.071999999999999 0.07) 26.74% (0.085999999999999 0.09) 43.67% (-0.157 -0.16)
Both teams to score 49.95% (-0.221 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.21% (-0.302 -0.3)54.79% (0.303 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.9% (-0.249 -0.25)76.1% (0.252 0.25)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.52% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)33.48% (0.105 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.88% (-0.113 -0.11)70.12% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.09% (-0.212 -0.21)24.91% (0.214 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.46% (-0.298 -0.3)59.53% (0.3 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 29.59%
    Portsmouth 43.67%
    Draw 26.74%
Northampton TownDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 9.13% (0.081 0.08)
2-1 @ 6.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 4.99% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.53% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.82% (0.006 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 29.59%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.34% (0.097 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 11.59% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.82% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.06% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.08% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.73% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.3% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 43.67%

How you voted: Northampton vs Portsmouth

Northampton Town
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Portsmouth
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 34
Northampton
4-1
Portsmouth
Watson (20', 23'), Horsfall (32'), Hoskins (43')
Miller (85'), Mitchell (88')
Harrison (73' pen.)
Marquis (34')
Oct 27, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Portsmouth
4-0
Northampton
Marquis (39', 47'), Curtis (50'), Harness (83')
Williams (57'), Harness (60')

Bolger (43')
Dec 3, 2019 7.45pm
Round of 32
Portsmouth
2-1
Northampton
Maloney (39'), Harness (62')
Bolton (43')
Harriman (12')
Martin (43'), Harriman (76')
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
Portsmouth
3-1
Northampton
Kennedy (41'), Hawkins (45', 48')
Pitman (42'), Kennedy (90')
Long (36')
McGugan (45')
Sep 12, 2017 7.45pm
Northampton
3-1
Portsmouth
Long (18', 70'), Crooks (35')
Clarke (42'), Lowe (62')
Kennedy (49')
Thompson (11')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe1392231161529
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport145632017321
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Crawley TownCrawley143291225-1311
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion130581325-125


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