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League One
Northampton Town
League One | Gameweek 21
Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Northampton
3 - 0
Fleetwood

Pinnock (27', 90'), Hoskins (31' pen.)
Bowie (49')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Mayor (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Northampton 0-3 Portsmouth
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in League One

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Derby 3-0 Fleetwood
Tuesday, December 5 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Northampton Town 2-0 Fleetwood Town

 While Fleetwood have certainly shown signs of improvement on the whole under Lee Johnson, they lack confidence heading to Sixfields and may not have enough to come away with a result against Brady's side, who will be keen to return to their best after a minor setback last time out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 42.05%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawFleetwood Town
42.05% (0.238 0.24) 25.7% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02) 32.25% (-0.22 -0.22)
Both teams to score 54.41% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)49.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.39% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)71.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.58% (0.119 0.12)23.41% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.59% (0.172 0.17)57.41% (-0.172 -0.17)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04% (-0.139 -0.14)28.96% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.15% (-0.174 -0.17)64.85% (0.175 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 42.05%
    Fleetwood Town 32.25%
    Draw 25.69%
Northampton TownDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 9.84% (0.032 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.15% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.29% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.46% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.66% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 42.05%
1-1 @ 12.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.78% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 8.4% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.56% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.21% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.15% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 32.25%

Head to Head
Jan 26, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Fleetwood
0-0
Northampton
Morris (88')
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Northampton
1-0
Fleetwood
Bolger (47')
Sowerby (13'), McWilliams (43'), Harriman (60'), Arnold (90+3')

Coutts (8'), Camps (34'), Whelan (66')
Mar 24, 2018 3pm
Fleetwood
2-0
Northampton
Dempsey (18'), Bolger (83')
Sowerby (70')

Luckassen (90')
Aug 12, 2017 3pm
Northampton
0-1
Fleetwood
Cole (75')
Eastham (66'), O'Neill (79')
Feb 25, 2017 3pm
Fleetwood
3-0
Northampton
Cole (42'), Grant (56'), Ball (60')
Hunter (78')

Diamond (74'), McCourt (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
20Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122
> League One Full Table


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