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League One
Northampton Town
League One | Gameweek 21
Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Northampton
3 - 0
Fleetwood

Pinnock (27', 90'), Hoskins (31' pen.)
Bowie (49')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Mayor (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Northampton 0-3 Portsmouth
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in League One

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Derby 3-0 Fleetwood
Tuesday, December 5 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Northampton Town 2-0 Fleetwood Town

 While Fleetwood have certainly shown signs of improvement on the whole under Lee Johnson, they lack confidence heading to Sixfields and may not have enough to come away with a result against Brady's side, who will be keen to return to their best after a minor setback last time out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 42.05%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawFleetwood Town
42.05% (0.238 0.24) 25.7% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02) 32.25% (-0.22 -0.22)
Both teams to score 54.41% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)49.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.39% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)71.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.58% (0.119 0.12)23.41% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.59% (0.172 0.17)57.41% (-0.172 -0.17)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04% (-0.139 -0.14)28.96% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.15% (-0.174 -0.17)64.85% (0.175 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 42.05%
    Fleetwood Town 32.25%
    Draw 25.69%
Northampton TownDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 9.84% (0.032 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.15% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.29% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.46% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.66% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 42.05%
1-1 @ 12.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.78% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 8.4% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.56% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.21% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.15% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 32.25%

Head to Head
Jan 26, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Fleetwood
0-0
Northampton
Morris (88')
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Northampton
1-0
Fleetwood
Bolger (47')
Sowerby (13'), McWilliams (43'), Harriman (60'), Arnold (90+3')

Coutts (8'), Camps (34'), Whelan (66')
Mar 24, 2018 3pm
Fleetwood
2-0
Northampton
Dempsey (18'), Bolger (83')
Sowerby (70')

Luckassen (90')
Aug 12, 2017 3pm
Northampton
0-1
Fleetwood
Cole (75')
Eastham (66'), O'Neill (79')
Feb 25, 2017 3pm
Fleetwood
3-0
Northampton
Cole (42'), Grant (56'), Ball (60')
Hunter (78')

Diamond (74'), McCourt (89')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012
> League One Full Table


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