MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 23:11:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
Barnsley
Birmingham logo
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bristol Rovers
Burton Albion
Cambridge United
Charlton Athletic
Crawley Town
Exeter City
Huddersfield logo
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Mansfield Town
Northampton Town
Peterborough United
Reading logo
Rotherham logo
Shrewsbury Town
Stevenage
Stockport County
Wigan logo
Wrexham AFC
Wycombe Wanderers
Championship header 2

League One
Northampton Town
League One | Gameweek 21
Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Northampton
3 - 0
Fleetwood

Pinnock (27', 90'), Hoskins (31' pen.)
Bowie (49')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Mayor (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Northampton 0-3 Portsmouth
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in League One

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Derby 3-0 Fleetwood
Tuesday, December 5 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Northampton Town 2-0 Fleetwood Town

 While Fleetwood have certainly shown signs of improvement on the whole under Lee Johnson, they lack confidence heading to Sixfields and may not have enough to come away with a result against Brady's side, who will be keen to return to their best after a minor setback last time out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 42.05%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawFleetwood Town
42.05% (0.238 0.24) 25.7% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02) 32.25% (-0.22 -0.22)
Both teams to score 54.41% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)49.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.39% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)71.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.58% (0.119 0.12)23.41% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.59% (0.172 0.17)57.41% (-0.172 -0.17)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04% (-0.139 -0.14)28.96% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.15% (-0.174 -0.17)64.85% (0.175 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 42.05%
    Fleetwood Town 32.25%
    Draw 25.69%
Northampton TownDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 9.84% (0.032 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.15% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.29% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.46% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.66% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 42.05%
1-1 @ 12.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.78% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 8.4% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.56% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.21% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.15% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 32.25%

Head to Head
Jan 26, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Fleetwood
0-0
Northampton
Morris (88')
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Northampton
1-0
Fleetwood
Bolger (47')
Sowerby (13'), McWilliams (43'), Harriman (60'), Arnold (90+3')

Coutts (8'), Camps (34'), Whelan (66')
Mar 24, 2018 3pm
Fleetwood
2-0
Northampton
Dempsey (18'), Bolger (83')
Sowerby (70')

Luckassen (90')
Aug 12, 2017 3pm
Northampton
0-1
Fleetwood
Cole (75')
Eastham (66'), O'Neill (79')
Feb 25, 2017 3pm
Fleetwood
3-0
Northampton
Cole (42'), Grant (56'), Ball (60')
Hunter (78')

Diamond (74'), McCourt (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe1392231161529
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport145632017321
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Crawley TownCrawley143291225-1311
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion130581325-125
> League One Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!