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Championship header 2

League One
Fleetwood Town
League One | Gameweek 17
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Highbury Stadium
Exeter City

Fleetwood
3 - 0
Exeter

Broom (6'), Wiredu (32'), Patterson (42')
Omochere (66'), Broom (73')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Wildschut (65'), Diabate (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Fleetwood Town and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 4-0 Leicester U21s
Tuesday, November 7 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Exeter 0-2 Wigan
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup

We said: Fleetwood Town 2-1 Exeter City

 Fleetwood are gaining momentum under Lee Johnson having seemingly turned a corner, while Exeter are devoid of any confidence given their poor recent run, and we envisage the hosts coming out on top this weekend and closing the gap between the two sides with differing trajectories to just a single point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawExeter City
46.29% (-0.38200000000001 -0.38) 24.67% (0.121 0.12) 29.04% (0.256 0.26)
Both teams to score 56.18% (-0.237 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.47% (-0.389 -0.39)46.53% (0.387 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.2% (-0.366 -0.37)68.8% (0.36200000000001 0.36)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.82% (-0.319 -0.32)20.18% (0.317 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.52% (-0.514 -0.51)52.48% (0.511 0.51)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.39% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)29.61% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.35% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)65.65% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 46.29%
    Exeter City 29.04%
    Draw 24.66%
Fleetwood TownDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 9.56% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.65% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.97% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.08% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.99% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 46.29%
1-1 @ 11.63% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.98% (0.097 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.66%
0-1 @ 7.27% (0.115 0.12)
1-2 @ 7.08% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.43% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.87% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 29.04%

Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Fleetwood
2-2
Exeter
Marriott (18', 35')
McDonald (28'), Sweeney (90+1')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Exeter
2-1
Fleetwood
Stansfield (30'), Nombe (90+3')
Mendes Gomes (28')
> Preview
Mar 22, 2014 3pm
Exeter
3-0
Fleetwood
Parkin (25' og.), Richards (62', 65')

Sarcevic (45')
Sep 28, 2013 3pm
Fleetwood
1-2
Exeter
Blair (71')
Brown (35')
Bennett (76', 79')
Sercombe (25'), Davies (90')
Mar 9, 2013 3pm
Fleetwood
0-0
Exeter
Matt (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
20Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122
> League One Full Table


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