MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 10:47:30| >> :600:561068:561068:
Exeter City
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 10, 2023 at 7.15pm UK
St James Park

Exeter
0 - 5
Arsenal U21s


James (55'), Taylor (83'), Borges (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sagoe Jr (61'), Ferdinand (79', 90+7'), Edwards (82'), Henry-Francis (90')
Henry-Francis (10'), Sweet (55')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Exeter City and Arsenal Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Barnsley
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Everton U21s 1-1 Arsenal U21s
Friday, September 29 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawArsenal Under-21s
45.88%23.28%30.84% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 62.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.86% (0.0019999999999953 0)39.14% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.53% (0.00099999999999767 0)61.47%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.59% (0.0010000000000048 0)17.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.15%47.85%
Arsenal Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.27% (0.0010000000000048 0)24.73% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.73% (0.0020000000000024 0)59.28% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 45.88%
    Arsenal Under-21s 30.84%
    Draw 23.27%
Exeter CityDrawArsenal Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.19%
1-0 @ 7.53%
2-0 @ 6.58%
3-1 @ 5.36%
3-0 @ 3.83%
3-2 @ 3.74%
4-1 @ 2.34%
4-0 @ 1.68%
4-2 @ 1.64%
Other @ 4%
Total : 45.88%
1-1 @ 10.51%
2-2 @ 6.42% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.3% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.27%
1-2 @ 7.35%
0-1 @ 6.02%
0-2 @ 4.2%
1-3 @ 3.42%
2-3 @ 2.99%
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.2%
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 30.84%

How you voted: Exeter vs Arsenal U21s

Exeter City
44.4%
Draw
22.2%
Arsenal Under-21s
33.3%
9
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