EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 10, 2023 at 7.15pm UK
St James Park
Exeter0 - 5Arsenal U21s
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sagoe Jr (61'), Ferdinand (79', 90+7'), Edwards (82'), Henry-Francis (90')
Henry-Francis (10'), Sweet (55')
Henry-Francis (10'), Sweet (55')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Exeter City and Arsenal Under-21s.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Barnsley
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Everton U21s 1-1 Arsenal U21s
Friday, September 29 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Friday, September 29 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Goals
for
for
15
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Exeter City | Draw | Arsenal Under-21s |
45.88% | 23.28% | 30.84% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 62.17% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.86% ( 0) | 39.14% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.53% ( 0) | 61.47% |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.59% ( 0) | 17.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.15% | 47.85% |
Arsenal Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.27% ( 0) | 24.73% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.73% ( 0) | 59.28% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Exeter City 45.88%
Arsenal Under-21s 30.84%
Draw 23.27%
Exeter City | Draw | Arsenal Under-21s |
2-1 @ 9.19% 1-0 @ 7.53% 2-0 @ 6.58% 3-1 @ 5.36% 3-0 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 3.74% 4-1 @ 2.34% 4-0 @ 1.68% 4-2 @ 1.64% Other @ 4% Total : 45.88% | 1-1 @ 10.51% 2-2 @ 6.42% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.3% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 7.35% 0-1 @ 6.02% 0-2 @ 4.2% 1-3 @ 3.42% 2-3 @ 2.99% 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.2% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.67% Total : 30.84% |
How you voted: Exeter vs Arsenal U21s
Exeter City
44.4%Draw
22.2%Arsenal Under-21s
33.3%9
Form Guide
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Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 34 |
3 | Arsenal | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 33 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 31 |
5 | Aston Villa | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
6 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 26 |
8 | Bournemouth | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 25 |
10 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 23 |
12 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 16 |
16 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 12 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 5 |
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