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League One | Gameweek 38
Mar 13, 2024 at 8pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Stevenage

Peterborough
3 - 1
Stevenage

Burrows (44' pen.), Katongo (64'), Poku (77')
Kyprianou (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Freeman (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 0-0 Fleetwood
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 2-1 Stevenage

Peterborough are enjoying a scintillating run of form, and while they will face a tricky test on Wednesday, we think that they will do enough to claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 62.16%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 17.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Stevenage win it was 1-2 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawStevenage
62.16% (-1.08 -1.08) 20.44% (0.485 0.48) 17.4% (0.6 0.6)
Both teams to score 55.44% (-0.428 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.55% (-1.174 -1.17)40.45% (1.176 1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.17% (-1.218 -1.22)62.83% (1.221 1.22)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.51% (-0.655 -0.66)12.49% (0.66 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.54% (-1.385 -1.39)38.46% (1.389 1.39)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.35% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)36.65% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.56% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)73.43% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 62.16%
    Stevenage 17.4%
    Draw 20.44%
Peterborough UnitedDrawStevenage
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.9% (0.032 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.52% (0.271 0.27)
3-1 @ 6.9% (-0.16 -0.16)
3-0 @ 6.87% (-0.157 -0.16)
4-1 @ 3.59% (-0.179 -0.18)
4-0 @ 3.57% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.8% (-0.091 -0.09)
5-1 @ 1.49% (-0.115 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.49% (-0.114 -0.11)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 62.16%
1-1 @ 9.56% (0.268 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.99% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.58% (0.243 0.24)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.44%
1-2 @ 4.8% (0.133 0.13)
0-1 @ 4.59% (0.243 0.24)
0-2 @ 2.31% (0.12 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.61% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 17.4%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Stevenage

Peterborough United
83.6%
Draw
10.9%
Stevenage
5.5%
55
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Stevenage
2-2
Peterborough
Wildin (22'), Thompson (30')
Piergianni (34'), Ashby-Hammond (66')
Randall (51'), Jade-Jones (81')
Aug 30, 2022 7.30pm
Group Stage
Peterborough
1-2
Stevenage
Jade-Jones (9')
Knight (50')
J (18'), Piergianni (84')
Reeves (32'), Earley (50')
Aug 23, 2022 7.45pm
Second Round
Stevenage
1-0
Peterborough
Reid (90+3')
Taylor (70')

Taylor (2'), Knight (64')
Nov 19, 2019 7.45pm
First Round
Peterborough
2-0
Stevenage
Eisa (11'), Jade-Jones (94')
Toney (55')

Fernandez (56')
Nov 9, 2019 3pm
First Round
Stevenage
1-1
Peterborough
List (56')
Watts (6'), Stokes (81')
Maddison (79')
Thompson (24'), Butler (47'), Woodyard (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton26115103941-238
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2510783126537
11Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
12Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Exeter CityExeter2695122933-432
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Stevenage248791922-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2586112426-230
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2676134247-527
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Burton Albion2639142340-1718
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118


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