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League One | Gameweek 36
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Stevenage

Lincoln
0 - 0
Stevenage


House (33'), Erhahon (36')
FT

Reid (27'), Evans (28'), Vancooten (75'), Freeman (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 3-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, February 27 at 8pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 2-0 Stevenage

Few professional sides in England can boast as good a record as Lincoln over the past month, as they have kept their playoff hopes alive with a brilliant run, and another win here against a direct promotion rival would be huge. While home comforts have provided Stevenage with two big wins in the past week, they have only won two of their last seven on the road, losing four, and this will be a challenge against a confident Lincoln side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 36.14%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.3%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (12.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawStevenage
34.14% (0.102 0.1) 29.72% (-0.108 -0.11) 36.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 42.87% (0.297 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.78% (0.35100000000001 0.35)64.22% (-0.34999999999999 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.66% (0.25 0.25)83.34% (-0.24799999999999 -0.25)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.8% (0.261 0.26)35.2% (-0.259 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.05% (0.271 0.27)71.95% (-0.27 -0.27)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.15% (0.194 0.19)33.85% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.49% (0.208 0.21)70.51% (-0.206 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 34.14%
    Stevenage 36.13%
    Draw 29.71%
Lincoln CityDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 12.44% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 7.04% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.5% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.45% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.26% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.33% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 34.14%
1-1 @ 13.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 11.91% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 3.81% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29.71%
0-1 @ 12.9% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 7.3% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.99% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.64% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.52% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.38% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 36.13%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Stevenage

Lincoln City
71.4%
Draw
21.4%
Stevenage
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Nov 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 18
Stevenage
1-0
Lincoln
Reid (68')
Piergianni (28'), Evans (29')

Skubala (0'), Jackson (81')
Feb 16, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 33
Lincoln
2-2
Stevenage
Andrade (48', 71')
Bolger (51'), Akinde (88'), Toffolo (89')
Chair (87', 94')
Wildin (89')
Dec 8, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 21
Stevenage
0-1
Lincoln
Akinde (11' pen.)
Akinde (45')
Dec 26, 2017 3pm
Sep 9, 2017 3pm
Stevenage
1-2
Lincoln
Godden (26')
Wilkinson (82')
Palmer (75' pen.), Raggett (58')
Jones (36'), Green (45'), Bostwick (81'), Woodyard (87'), Farman (93')
Green (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton26115103941-238
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2510783126537
11Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
12Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Exeter CityExeter2695122933-432
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Stevenage248791922-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2586112426-230
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2676134247-527
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Burton Albion2639142340-1718
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118


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