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Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 18
Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Lincoln City

Stevenage
1 - 0
Lincoln

Reid (68')
Piergianni (28'), Evans (29')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Skubala (0'), Jackson (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Stevenage and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 5-2 Palace U21s
Tuesday, November 14 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Port Vale
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 2-1 Lincoln City

Lincoln have won three of the last four meetings between these two sides, which have all been in League Two. Indeed, Stevenage have not beaten Saturday's opponents in any competition since March 2011, but we are backing them to secure a narrow success in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 59.9%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 17.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stevenage in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stevenage.

Result
StevenageDrawLincoln City
59.9% (0.0010000000000048 0) 22.97% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 17.13% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 46.83% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)51.66% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)73.44% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)16.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)46.93% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.34% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)43.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.16% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)79.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 59.9%
    Lincoln City 17.13%
    Draw 22.96%
StevenageDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 13.11%
2-0 @ 11.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.67%
3-0 @ 6.91% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 5.73%
4-0 @ 3.07%
4-1 @ 2.55%
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.09%
4-2 @ 1.06%
5-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 59.9%
1-1 @ 10.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.37% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 22.96%
0-1 @ 6.11%
1-2 @ 4.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.25%
2-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 17.13%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Lincoln

Stevenage
61.5%
Draw
23.1%
Lincoln City
15.4%
26
Head to Head
Feb 16, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 33
Lincoln
2-2
Stevenage
Andrade (48', 71')
Bolger (51'), Akinde (88'), Toffolo (89')
Chair (87', 94')
Wildin (89')
Dec 8, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 21
Stevenage
0-1
Lincoln
Akinde (11' pen.)
Akinde (45')
Dec 26, 2017 3pm
Sep 9, 2017 3pm
Stevenage
1-2
Lincoln
Godden (26')
Wilkinson (82')
Palmer (75' pen.), Raggett (58')
Jones (36'), Green (45'), Bostwick (81'), Woodyard (87'), Farman (93')
Green (52')
Mar 19, 2011 3pm
Stevenage
2-1
Lincoln
Wilson (37', 60')
Grimes (33' pen.)
O'Keefe (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham25176243182557
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe27167452282455
3Wrexham27157539211852
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield26146639221748
5Stockport CountyStockport27128742281444
6Barnsley2712694037342
7Leyton Orient26125934221241
8Reading2612594038241
9Bolton WanderersBolton27125104041-141
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2611783226640
11Lincoln CityLincoln2710893431338
12Mansfield TownMansfield25114103431337
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham2697103030034
14Blackpool2681083738-134
15Stevenage259792022-234
16Wigan AthleticWigan2696112626033
17Exeter CityExeter2795133036-632
18Bristol Rovers2684142541-1628
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2776144352-927
20Northampton TownNorthampton2769122440-1627
21Burton Albion2749142742-1521
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2656152747-2021
23Crawley TownCrawley2556142546-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2655162646-2020


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