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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 39
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Oxford United

Port Vale
0 - 2
Oxford Utd


Lowe (20'), Clark (28')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Brown (16'), Murphy (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-0 Port Vale
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 5-0 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, March 12 at 8pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 1-1 Oxford United

Although Oxford may be favourites due to their current league position, they have struggled to enjoy success in their recent away matches, and with that in mind, we think that the U's will be held to a point in Saturday's clash at Vale Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawOxford United
42.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.32% (0.00099999999999767 0) 32.21%
Both teams to score 55.66% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)47.94% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.88% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)70.12% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.51% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)22.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.95% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)56.06% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.82% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)28.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.12% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)63.88%
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 42.48%
    Oxford United 32.21%
    Draw 25.31%
Port ValeDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 9.46%
2-1 @ 8.94%
2-0 @ 7.06%
3-1 @ 4.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.51%
3-2 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 1.66%
4-0 @ 1.31%
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 42.48%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 6.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.66%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 8.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 7.59%
0-2 @ 5.08%
1-3 @ 3.2%
2-3 @ 2.39%
0-3 @ 2.15%
1-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 32.21%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Oxford Utd

Port Vale
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Oxford United
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Oxford Utd
1-2
Port Vale
Leigh (90+3')
Leigh (20'), Stevens (90+8')
Harris (62'), Leigh (90+5')
Iacovitti (74'), Devine (90+9' pen.)
Ojo (14'), Massey (62')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Oxford Utd
4-0
Port Vale
Bodin (10', 62'), Taylor (27', 66')
Nov 3, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Port Vale
2-0
Oxford Utd
Gunning (16'), Pope (53')
Myers-Harness (10'), Denton (36')

Thomas (42'), Martin (89')
Apr 17, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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