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League One | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Oxford United

Shrewsbury
1 - 1
Oxford Utd

Price (82')
Winchester (67'), Price (87'), Flanagan (87'), Marosi (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bodin (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-0 Carlisle
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 0-2 Oxford Utd
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One

We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-3 Oxford United

Oxford United have enjoyed this fixture in recent seasons, taking victories from four of their last five trips to Shrewsbury and scoring three goals in three of these victories. While the visitors have scored a lot this season, they are also prone to conceding their fair share of goals, and we expect the hosts to get on the scoresheet in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawOxford United
31.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 26.73% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 42.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 50.75% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.88% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)54.12% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.46% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)75.54% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.07% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)31.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.62% (0.009999999999998 0.01)68.39% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.56% (0.0040000000000049 0)25.44% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.73% (0.0010000000000048 0)60.27%
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 31.25%
    Oxford United 42.03%
    Draw 26.72%
Shrewsbury TownDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 9.28%
2-1 @ 7.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 5.29% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 2.76% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.01%
3-2 @ 1.89% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 31.25%
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 8.13% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.72%
0-1 @ 11.12%
1-2 @ 8.69%
0-2 @ 7.61% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.96%
0-3 @ 3.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.26%
1-4 @ 1.36%
0-4 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 42.03%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Oxford Utd

Shrewsbury Town
22.2%
Draw
5.6%
Oxford United
72.2%
18
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Oxford Utd
3-0
Shrewsbury
Stevens (17'), Brown (59'), Leigh (90+6')
Leigh (71'), Goodrham (80'), McEachran (88')

Anderson (47')
Anderson (58')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 38
Shrewsbury
1-2
Oxford Utd
Bowman (60')
Pennington (82')
Taylor (11'), Brannagan (82' pen.)
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2311483534137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Stevenage238781820-231
14Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
15Blackpool247983235-330
16Rotherham UnitedRotherham237792123-228
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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