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Shrewsbury Town
League One | Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Exeter City

Shrewsbury
0 - 3
Exeter


Sraha (5'), Bayliss (42'), Benning (42')
Shipley (6')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Aimson (33'), Harris (41'), Aitchison (45+5')
Harper (27'), Cole (29'), Eisa (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 1-2 Shrewsbury
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 2-2 Bolton
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One

We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-1 Exeter City

For all of Shrewsbury's attacking shortcomings on home soil, Exeter arrive at Montgomery Waters Meadow with just one clean sheet from their last 14 away games and have often struggled to shut out their hosts on Salop soil. Jellied legs from the weekend could also hamper the flow of both sides, and in a contest as tight as the table would suggest, we can only envisage a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawExeter City
38.21% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 26.81% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 34.98% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Both teams to score 51.45% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.34% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)53.65% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.85% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)75.15% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.7% (0.036999999999992 0.04)27.3% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.25% (0.045999999999999 0.05)62.74% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.77% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)29.22% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.82% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)65.17% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 38.2%
    Exeter City 34.98%
    Draw 26.8%
Shrewsbury TownDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 10.35% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.27% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.72% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.58% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.91% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.2%
4-1 @ 1.16% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 38.2%
1-1 @ 12.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.98% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.8%
0-1 @ 9.82% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.84% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.04% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.21% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.48% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 34.98%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Exeter

Shrewsbury Town
52.2%
Draw
34.8%
Exeter City
13.0%
23
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Exeter
0-0
Shrewsbury
Sweeney (50'), Cole (69')
Shipley (18')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Shrewsbury
3-2
Exeter
Pennington (22'), Bayliss (34'), Dunkley (90+3')
Sweeney (17'), Grounds (20')
Apr 11, 2015 3pm
Nov 22, 2014 3pm
Exeter
3-2
Shrewsbury
Nichols (46', 91'), Wheeler (75')
Grimes (61'), Cummins (77'), Wheeler (96')
Collins (13', 34')
Lawrence (29'), Grimmer (65'), Knight-Percival (70'), Goldson (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815


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