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League One
Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Oxford Utd
4 - 0
Fleetwood

Brannagan (14'), Harris (30', 83'), Dale (43')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Wiredu (35'), Lawal (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Oxford United and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-1 Oxford Utd
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-2 Cheltenham
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 2-0 Fleetwood Town

 While neither side have been in great form coming into this match, Oxford have picked up almost double the points of Fleetwood this season and are favourites to win this game. The visitors have won one game away from home since November - with a 2-0 victory against Bristol Rovers in February - while they have failed to win away against Oxford United since 2018. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 56.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 21.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 1-2 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
56.54% (-0.146 -0.15) 22.18% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 21.29% (0.126 0.13)
Both teams to score 56.4% (0.11 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.53% (0.058 0.06)42.47% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.13% (0.057000000000002 0.06)64.87% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.16% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)14.84% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.84% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)43.16% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.23% (0.15000000000001 0.15)33.76% (-0.14899999999999 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.57% (0.163 0.16)70.42% (-0.16199999999999 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 56.54%
    Fleetwood Town 21.29%
    Draw 22.18%
Oxford UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 9.56% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.12% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.3% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.8% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 3% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.77% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.63% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.15% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 56.54%
1-1 @ 10.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.01% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.18%
1-2 @ 5.64% (0.026 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.44% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.95% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.04% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.07% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 21.29%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Fleetwood

Oxford United
68.8%
Draw
12.5%
Fleetwood Town
18.8%
16
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Fleetwood
0-3
Oxford Utd

Robertson (37'), Vela (65')
Mills (16'), Bodin (27'), Edwards (60')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Fleetwood
1-2
Oxford Utd
Wiredu (44')
Joseph (62'), Brown (90')
> Preview
Nov 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Oxford Utd
1-1
Fleetwood
O'Donkor (50')
Mendes Gomes (2')
> Preview
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 43
Fleetwood
2-3
Oxford Utd
Harrison (39' pen.), Hayes (53')
Harrison (52')
Holland (2'), Brannagan (7'), Bodin (16')
Brannagan (71'), Stevens (90+6')
> Preview
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Oxford Utd
3-1
Fleetwood
McNally (5'), Brannagan (13'), Holland (69')
Whyte (89')
Matete (40')
Clark (52'), Batty (65'), Matete (84')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
20Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122
> League One Full Table


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