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League One
Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Bristol Rovers

Port Vale
2 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Garrity (42'), Dipepa (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hoole (34'), Wilson (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Port Vale and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League One

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Lincoln 5-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 2-1 Bristol Rovers

 Port Vale will have a renewed sense of belief following their narrow win over Burton, and with Bristol Rovers experiencing a dip in form, Friday's fixture represents the perfect opportunity for the hosts to boost their survival hopes with three more precious points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 37.03%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 36.94% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawBristol Rovers
36.94% (-0.269 -0.27) 26.03% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 37.03% (0.29 0.29)
Both teams to score 54.15% (0.077000000000005 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.71% (0.094999999999999 0.09)50.28% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.76% (0.085000000000001 0.09)72.23% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.56% (-0.108 -0.11)26.44% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.39% (-0.143 -0.14)61.61% (0.144 0.14)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.61% (0.212 0.21)26.39% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.46% (0.28 0.28)61.54% (-0.28 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 36.94%
    Bristol Rovers 37.03%
    Draw 26.02%
Port ValeDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.28% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.17% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.65% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.74% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 36.94%
1-1 @ 12.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.98% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.48% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.02%
0-1 @ 9.3% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.24% (0.041 0.04)
0-2 @ 6.19% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.66% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.75% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.22% (0.02 0.02)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 37.03%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Bristol Rovers

Port Vale
55.0%
Draw
15.0%
Bristol Rovers
30.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Bristol Rovers
3-0
Port Vale
McCormick (25'), Hunt (45+2'), Brown (85')
Grant (47')

Debrah (18'), Devine (42')
Debrah (38')
> Preview
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
Port Vale
2-0
Bristol Rovers
Harrison (22'), Pett (29')
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 21
Bristol Rovers
1-0
Port Vale
Collins (87')
> Preview
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 43
Port Vale
1-3
Bristol Rovers
Proctor (2')
Hall (47'), Benning (49')
Anderson (10'), Connolly (32'), Loft (90+4')
Taylor (8'), Anderson (22'), Coutts (45'), Grant (51'), Finley (77'), Anderson (90+5')
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Bristol Rovers
1-2
Port Vale
Collins (56')
Whelan (86'), Pitman (90+5')
Finley (15'), Harries (77')
Garrity (31', 33')
Jones (58'), Politic (60')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2311483534137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Stevenage238781820-231
14Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
15Blackpool247983235-330
16Rotherham UnitedRotherham237792123-228
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814
> League One Full Table


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