League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Bristol Rovers0 - 3Derby
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 3-0 Port Vale
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One
We said: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Derby County
Derby would have taken confidence from their midweek win over Port Vale, and we think that the rejuvenated Rams will continue their promotion push by claiming a second straight victory in Saturday's away meeting with Bristol Rovers. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Derby County |
30.59% ( 0.4) | 26.21% | 43.2% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 52.06% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
