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League One | Gameweek 34
Feb 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Northampton
3 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Brough (3'), Pinnock (40'), Leonard (84')
Brough (52'), Moulden (79')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Martin (79')
Wilson (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leyton Orient 4-3 Northampton
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 2-3 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 2-2 Bristol Rovers

With virtually nothing to separate the sides in the league table, a close encounter is likely between two teams marooned in mid-table. Despite not drawing any of their previous 13 league games, Rovers may have found their match here, and the two could cancel each other in another entertaining affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Bristol Rovers has a probability of 35.89% and a draw has a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win is 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.37%).

Result
Northampton TownDrawBristol Rovers
38.06% (0.38500000000001 0.39) 26.04% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 35.89% (-0.352 -0.35)
Both teams to score 54.07% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.63% (0.128 0.13)50.36% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.69% (0.113 0.11)72.3% (-0.116 -0.12)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.15% (0.27199999999999 0.27)25.85% (-0.274 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.18% (0.37 0.37)60.81% (-0.373 -0.37)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.91% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)27.08% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.53% (-0.192 -0.19)62.46% (0.187 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 38.06%
    Bristol Rovers 35.89%
    Draw 26.04%
Northampton TownDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.47% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.37% (0.052999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.41% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.78% (0.054 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.89% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.47% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 38.06%
1-1 @ 12.37% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.04%
0-1 @ 9.14% (-0.084999999999999 -0.08)
1-2 @ 8.08% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.97% (-0.079999999999999 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.52% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.6% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 35.89%

How you voted: Northampton vs Bristol Rovers

Northampton Town
37.5%
Draw
25.0%
Bristol Rovers
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Bristol Rovers
2-1
Northampton
Martin (10'), Evans (30' pen.)
Grant (12'), Evans (18'), Martin (41')
Monthe (57')
Pinnock (54')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 38
Northampton
0-1
Bristol Rovers

McGowan (61'), Lewis (71'), Pinnock (90+2')
Anderson (1')
Finley (68'), Coutts (75'), Connolly (81'), Taylor (90+1')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Bristol Rovers
2-1
Northampton
Grant (54'), Evans (59')
Whelan (12'), Harries (49'), Anderson (74')
Whelan (67')
Hoskins (39' pen.)
Hoskins (74'), Roberts (90+5')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 41
Northampton
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Hoskins (78' pen.)
Morris (44'), Hoskins (83')
Leahy (19')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 4
Bristol Rovers
2-0
Northampton
Hanlan (56' pen.), Baldwin (79')
Grant (23')

Racic (11'), Martin (35'), Watson (82'), Bolger (90+4')
Martin (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton26115103941-238
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2510783126537
11Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
12Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Exeter CityExeter2695122933-432
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Stevenage248791922-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2586112426-230
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2676134247-527
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Burton Albion2639142340-1718
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118


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