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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 1
Aug 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Mansfield Town

Barnsley
1 - 2
Mansfield

Connell (32')
Earl (79')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Quinn (13'), Gregory (18')
Quinn (25'), Pym (66'), Nichols (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Barnsley and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 0-4 Roma
Tuesday, August 6 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Matlock Town 0-3 Mansfield
Tuesday, August 6 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Barnsley 2-1 Mansfield Town

Like the other teams that have earned promotion from League Two, Mansfield have the potential to make an impact in the third tier. However, we can only back the home side to come through this contest with three points, albeit in a competitive match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 55.86%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 21.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Barnsley win it was 1-0 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawMansfield Town
21.34% (-6.258 -6.26) 22.8% (-1.916 -1.92) 55.86% (8.173 8.17)
Both teams to score 54.41% (-0.595 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.85% (2.457 2.46)45.16% (-2.456 -2.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.5% (2.312 2.31)67.5% (-2.312 -2.31)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.77% (-4.003 -4)35.23% (4.002 4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.01% (-4.415 -4.42)71.99% (4.415 4.41)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84% (4.023 4.02)16% (-4.023 -4.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.69% (6.908 6.91)45.32% (-6.909 -6.91)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 21.34%
    Mansfield Town 55.86%
    Draw 22.79%
BarnsleyDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 5.88% (-1.396 -1.4)
2-1 @ 5.62% (-1.189 -1.19)
2-0 @ 3.07% (-1.167 -1.17)
3-1 @ 1.95% (-0.688 -0.69)
3-2 @ 1.79% (-0.334 -0.33)
3-0 @ 1.07% (-0.577 -0.58)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 21.34%
1-1 @ 10.77% (-0.93 -0.93)
0-0 @ 5.64% (-0.616 -0.62)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.326 -0.33)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.79%
0-1 @ 10.33% (0.28 0.28)
1-2 @ 9.88% (0.463 0.46)
0-2 @ 9.47% (1.378 1.38)
1-3 @ 6.03% (0.987 0.99)
0-3 @ 5.78% (1.447 1.45)
2-3 @ 3.15% (0.211 0.21)
1-4 @ 2.76% (0.735 0.74)
0-4 @ 2.65% (0.906 0.91)
2-4 @ 1.44% (0.261 0.26)
1-5 @ 1.01% (0.36 0.36)
0-5 @ 0.97% (0.41 0.41)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 55.86%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Mansfield

Barnsley
62.0%
Draw
12.7%
Mansfield Town
25.4%
71
rhs 2.0
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FT
Packers
29-34
Eagles
Tables header RHS


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