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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 54.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 21.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bradford City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bradford City.
Result | ||
Bradford City | Draw | Carlisle United |
54.41% ( 3.13) | 23.81% ( -0.94) | 21.78% ( -2.19) |
Both teams to score 51.78% ( 0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.06% ( 1.63) | 48.93% ( -1.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.97% ( 1.46) | 71.02% ( -1.46) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.12% ( 1.83) | 17.88% ( -1.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.34% ( 3.07) | 48.66% ( -3.07) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.06% ( -1.14) | 36.94% ( 1.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.27% ( -1.15) | 73.72% ( 1.15) |
Score Analysis |
Bradford City | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 11.36% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.48) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.58) 3-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.42) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.37) 4-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.31) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.49% Total : 54.4% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( -0.45) 0-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.45) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.81% | 0-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.67) 1-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.41) 0-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.45) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.19) Other @ 1.72% Total : 21.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |