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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Bradford City
League Two | Gameweek 5
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Utilita Energy Stadium
Carlisle United

Bradford
2 - 1
Carlisle

Cook (2', 70')
Byrne (29'), Kelly (78'), Diabate (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Neal (58')
Neal (20'), Barclay (64'), Davies (67'), McGeouch (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Bradford City and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carlisle 1-2 Forest U21s
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Bradford City 2-1 Carlisle United

With a win over high-flying Barrow this campaign, Carlisle cannot be written off from overcoming Bradford this weekend. Nevertheless, the home side could extend their unbeaten record on familiar territory to three games with a hard-fought victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 54.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 21.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bradford City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bradford City.

Result
Bradford CityDrawCarlisle United
54.41% (3.128 3.13) 23.81% (-0.937 -0.94) 21.78% (-2.191 -2.19)
Both teams to score 51.78% (0.244 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.06% (1.631 1.63)48.93% (-1.632 -1.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.97% (1.459 1.46)71.02% (-1.46 -1.46)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.12% (1.834 1.83)17.88% (-1.834 -1.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.34% (3.067 3.07)48.66% (-3.067 -3.07)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.06% (-1.138 -1.14)36.94% (1.137 1.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.27% (-1.15 -1.15)73.72% (1.15 1.15)
Score Analysis
    Bradford City 54.4%
    Carlisle United 21.78%
    Draw 23.81%
Bradford CityDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 11.36% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 9.79% (0.481 0.48)
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.189 0.19)
3-0 @ 5.62% (0.579 0.58)
3-1 @ 5.59% (0.419 0.42)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.128 0.13)
4-0 @ 2.42% (0.372 0.37)
4-1 @ 2.41% (0.307 0.31)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.12 0.12)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 54.4%
1-1 @ 11.32% (-0.45 -0.45)
0-0 @ 6.6% (-0.453 -0.45)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.81%
0-1 @ 6.58% (-0.672 -0.67)
1-2 @ 5.64% (-0.408 -0.41)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.448 -0.45)
1-3 @ 1.87% (-0.198 -0.2)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.09% (-0.188 -0.19)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 21.78%

How you voted: Bradford vs Carlisle

Bradford City
80.0%
Draw
4.0%
Carlisle United
16.0%
25
Head to Head
May 20, 2023 3pm
Carlisle
3-1
Bradford
Halliday (21' og.), Guy (98'), Barclay (112')
Armer (6'), Garner (60'), Guy (96')
Derbyshire (106')
Clayton (42')
May 14, 2023 7pm
Mar 21, 2023 7.45pm
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
May 7, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 46
Bradford
2-0
Carlisle
Angol (13'), Walker (69')
Cooke (79')

Whelan (56'), Armer (67'), Dickenson (80'), Omotoye (86')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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