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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gillingham win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Carlisle United has a probability of 34.79% and a draw has a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Carlisle United win is 0-1 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.87%).
Result | ||
Gillingham | Draw | Carlisle United |
38.09% ( -0.05) | 27.12% ( 0) | 34.79% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 50.42% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.05% ( -0.01) | 54.94% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.77% ( -0.01) | 76.22% ( 0) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.01% ( -0.03) | 27.98% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.37% ( -0.04) | 63.62% ( 0.04) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.02% ( 0.03) | 29.98% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.9% ( 0.03) | 66.1% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Gillingham | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 38.08% | 1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 8.39% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.12% | 0-1 @ 10.1% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 34.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Notts County | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
2 | Gillingham | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 13 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 13 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 12 |
5 | Walsall | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 12 |
6 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
8 | Port Vale | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 10 |
9 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 10 |
10 | Newport CountyNewport | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 9 |
11 | Chesterfield | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
13 | Salford City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
14 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 8 |
15 | Bromley | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 7 |
16 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 6 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 6 |
19 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 6 |
20 | MK Dons | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 6 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 3 |
23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 2 |
24 | Morecambe | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 |
> League Two Full Table |