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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Tranmere Rovers

Carlisle
1 - 2
Tranmere

Patrick (7')
Jones (45+1'), Ellis (85')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Davies (7'), Patrick (37')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Tranmere Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 3-0 Carlisle
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawTranmere Rovers
43.47% (-0.002999999999993 -0) 26.1% (0.0019999999999989 0) 30.43%
Both teams to score 52.35% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)51.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.36% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)73.64% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.27% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)23.73% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)57.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.64% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)31.36% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.27%67.73%
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 43.46%
    Tranmere Rovers 30.43%
    Draw 26.1%
Carlisle UnitedDrawTranmere Rovers
1-0 @ 10.7%
2-1 @ 8.93% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.7%
3-1 @ 4.28% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.69%
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.54%
4-0 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 43.46%
1-1 @ 12.41%
0-0 @ 7.44% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.18%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 8.63%
1-2 @ 7.2%
0-2 @ 5% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.78%
2-3 @ 2%
0-3 @ 1.93%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 30.43%

Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Carlisle
2-0
Tranmere
Dennis (3', 39')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
First Round
Carlisle
2-1
Tranmere
Gibson (30'), Harris (66')
Byrne (82')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 17
Tranmere
0-2
Carlisle
Dennis (1', 54')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Tranmere
2-2
Carlisle
Hemmings (15'), Nevitt (76')
Hemmings (43'), Davies (44'), Cogley (88'), Murphy (90+1'), Clarke (90+2')
MacDonald (40'), Morris (90+1')
Patrick (55'), Sho-Silva (90+7')
Simeu (43'), Feeney (43'), Mellor (64'), Mellish (90+2')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 12
Carlisle
0-1
Tranmere

Clough (37')
MacDonald (48' og.)
Hawkes (65'), Spearing (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Packers
20-19
Bears
FT
Raiders
19-34
Dolphins
6pm
Colts
@
Jets
FT
Jags
6-52
Lions
FT
Rams
28-22
Patriots
6pm
Browns
@
Saints
6pm
Ravens
@
Steelers
6pm
Vikings
@
Titans
9.05pm
Seahawks
@
49ers
9.05pm
Falcons
@
Broncos
9.25pm
Chiefs
@
Bills
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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