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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Tranmere Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 45
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Prenton Park
AFC Wimbledon

Tranmere
3 - 2
AFC Wimbledon

Saunders (35'), Apter (45'), Jennings (71')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kelly (56', 90+5')
Lewis (45+6')
O'Toole (59')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Tranmere Rovers and AFC Wimbledon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newport 1-2 Tranmere
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 3-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.

Result
Tranmere RoversDrawAFC Wimbledon
38.67% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 25.03% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 36.29% (0.055 0.05)
Both teams to score 57.61% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.17% (0.048999999999999 0.05)45.82% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.86% (0.045999999999999 0.05)68.14% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.54%23.46% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.53% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)57.47% (0.0040000000000049 0)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.27% (0.054000000000002 0.05)24.73% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.72% (0.073 0.07)59.28% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Tranmere Rovers 38.67%
    AFC Wimbledon 36.29%
    Draw 25.03%
Tranmere RoversDrawAFC Wimbledon
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.41% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.1% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.95% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.88% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 38.67%
1-1 @ 11.75%
2-2 @ 5.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.8% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 25.03%
1-2 @ 8.21% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.1% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-2 @ 5.66% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.82% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.77% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.64% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.003 0)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 36.29%

Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
AFC Wimbledon
4-1
Tranmere
Little (21'), Al-Hamadi (32', 62', 88')
Ball (90+5')
Jennings (4')
Jennings (61'), O'Connor (90+5')
Turnbull (54')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Mar 21, 2020 3pm
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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