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AFC Wimbledon
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Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Harrogate Town

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 1
Harrogate

Curtis (58')
Balmer (52')
Curtis (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Daly (8')
March (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Harrogate Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 1-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 3-0 Bradford
Saturday, March 23 at 1pm in League Two

We said: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Harrogate Town

Wimbledon are the favourites heading into this match, but they are going up against a Harrogate side that are unbeaten in their last three and hold the league's second-best away record this term, which includes just one loss in their last ten games on the road. We are expecting a close encounter here and feel that there will be nothing to split these two at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 62.57%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 16.15%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawHarrogate Town
62.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 21.29% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 16.15% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.91% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.54% (-0.1 -0.1)46.46% (0.105 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.26% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)68.74% (0.10000000000001 0.1)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.75% (-0.029000000000011 -0.03)14.26% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.98% (-0.061 -0.06)42.03% (0.067 0.07)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.2% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)41.8% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.74% (-0.073 -0.07)78.26% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 62.55%
    Harrogate Town 16.15%
    Draw 21.28%
AFC WimbledonDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 11.6% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 11.3% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 7.34% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 3.12% (-0.0079999999999996 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.39% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.22% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 62.55%
1-1 @ 10.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.96% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.3% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 21.28%
0-1 @ 5.2% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.42% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 16.15%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Harrogate

AFC Wimbledon
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
Harrogate Town
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Harrogate
0-1
AFC Wimbledon

Gibson (79'), McDonald (88')
Bugiel (6')
Little (83'), Pell (90+1')
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Harrogate
2-2
AFC Wimbledon
Armstrong (89'), Sutton (90+7')
Chislett (32', 57')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 17
AFC Wimbledon
3-2
Harrogate
Kalambayi (39'), Senior (84'), Davison (88')
Daly (48'), McArdle (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons25104113937234
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood248973229333
14Colchester UnitedColchester2671273028233
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2784152338-1528
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018


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