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Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 30
Feb 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
CNG Stadium
Newport County

Harrogate
1 - 4
Newport

Thomson (78')
Falkingham (55')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Evans (31' pen.), Zanzala (33', 52'), Palmer-Houlden (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 0-2 Walsall
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 3-0 Newport
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Harrogate Town 2-1 Newport County

Harrogate Town and Newport County have suffered a drop-off in form of late and will head into Tuesday's clash in search of a morale-boosting result. While both sides are evenly matched on paper, we fancy Weaver's men to secure a narrow victory in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawNewport County
39.73% (3.327 3.33) 24.8% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 35.47% (-3.291 -3.29)
Both teams to score 58.31% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.12% (0.067 0.07)44.88% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.76% (0.066000000000003 0.07)67.23% (-0.065000000000012 -0.07)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.49% (1.761 1.76)22.5% (-1.762 -1.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.93% (2.561 2.56)56.07% (-2.561 -2.56)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.25% (-1.73 -1.73)24.75% (1.73 1.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.69% (-2.479 -2.48)59.31% (2.478 2.48)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 39.73%
    Newport County 35.47%
    Draw 24.8%
Harrogate TownDrawNewport County
2-1 @ 8.65% (0.423 0.42)
1-0 @ 8.31% (0.397 0.4)
2-0 @ 6.2% (0.594 0.59)
3-1 @ 4.3% (0.418 0.42)
3-0 @ 3.08% (0.436 0.44)
3-2 @ 3% (0.151 0.15)
4-1 @ 1.6% (0.229 0.23)
4-0 @ 1.15% (0.212 0.21)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.11 0.11)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 39.73%
1-1 @ 11.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.57% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.8%
1-2 @ 8.1% (-0.435 -0.43)
0-1 @ 7.78% (-0.427 -0.43)
0-2 @ 5.43% (-0.596 -0.6)
1-3 @ 3.77% (-0.409 -0.41)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-3 @ 2.53% (-0.423 -0.42)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.218 -0.22)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 35.47%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Newport

Harrogate Town
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Newport County
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Newport
1-2
Harrogate
Evans (58')
Wildig (65'), Delaney (69')
Thomson (42'), O'Connor (52')
Ramsay (74'), Sivi (90+2')
Apr 25, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Newport
2-3
Harrogate
Bogle (3', 79')
Folarin (5'), Thomson (9'), Armstrong (83')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Harrogate
0-4
Newport
Bogle (4', 44'), Ramsay (9' og.), Nevers (22')
Drysdale (47'), Waite (51')
Jan 15, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 27
Newport
4-0
Harrogate
Demetriou (8' pen.), Telford (43', 49'), Baker-Richardson (55')
Cooper (22'), Norman (47')

Falkingham (8'), Armstrong (20'), Diarra (40')
Sep 10, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Harrogate
2-2
Newport
Muldoon (34'), Armstrong (43')
Bennett (3'), Willmott (38')
Demetriou (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons24104103835334
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood237973028230
15Colchester UnitedColchester2561272928130
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018


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