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Championship header 2

League Two
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 29
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Wrexham AFC

Newport
1 - 0
Wrexham

Palmer-Houlden (34')
Morris (37'), Evans (55'), Charsley (64'), Waite (89'), Townsend (90'), Palmer-Houlden (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Parkinson (19'), McClean (37'), O'Connell (84'), Palmer (90+1')
Boyle (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Newport County and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Eastleigh 1-3 Newport
Tuesday, January 16 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Wrexham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 2-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Newport County 0-1 Wrexham

 Not since October 7 have Newport fallen short in a League Two home fixture, but the Exiles still possess a tendency to ship goals at Rodney Parade - conceding in 11 of their 13 such matches so far - and FA Cup tiredness may also come into play for the hosts. Wrexham's shortcomings on the road - especially offensively - means that Newport should still give the title-chasers a good run for their money, and only one goal may separate the two sides on Saturday, but Parkinson's team should be the ones to score it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawWrexham
36.11% (-0.299 -0.3) 25.22% (-0.083000000000002 -0.08) 38.66% (0.38 0.38)
Both teams to score 56.9% (0.259 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.26% (0.345 0.34)46.74% (-0.346 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.99% (0.322 0.32)69% (-0.325 -0.33)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.74% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)25.25% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.99% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)60.01% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.12% (0.354 0.35)23.87% (-0.357 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.93% (0.506 0.51)58.07% (-0.508 -0.51)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 36.11%
    Wrexham 38.66%
    Draw 25.22%
Newport CountyDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 8.3% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-1 @ 8.18% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.71% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.75% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.62% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.005 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.9% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 36.11%
1-1 @ 11.88% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.03% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.86% (0.034 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 8.64% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.51% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.19% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.06% (0.066 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.95% (0.048 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.8% (0.045 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.46% (0.039 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.028 0.03)
2-4 @ 1% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2%
Total : 38.66%

How you voted: Newport vs Wrexham

Newport County
33.3%
Draw
11.1%
Wrexham
55.6%
18
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Wrexham
2-0
Newport
Jones (64'), Lee (87')

Wildig (9')
> Preview
Dec 11, 2018 7.45pm
Second Round Replays
Newport
4-0
Wrexham
Amond (49'), Matt (59'), Carrington (65' og.), Butler (90')
Butler (16'), Pipe (56')

Pearson (16'), Lainton (16'), Fondop-Talom (81')
Young (12')
Dec 1, 2018 8pm
Second Round
Wrexham
0-0
Newport
Walker (65')
Sheehan (39'), O'Brien (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


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