MX23RW : Monday, December 23 03:10:28| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Newport County

Wrexham
2 - 0
Newport

Jones (64'), Lee (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Wildig (9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Wrexham and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Colchester
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Wrexham 3-1 Newport County

The Wrexham style often leaves them vulnerable at the back, but there is so much depth in the attack that we believe they will once again find a way to counteract that flaw against Newport. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 57.96%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 21.4% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.94%) and 1-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-2 (5.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawNewport County
57.96% (-0.253 -0.25) 20.63% (0.108 0.11) 21.4% (0.143 0.14)
Both teams to score 62.12% (-0.178 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.96% (-0.33 -0.33)35.04% (0.328 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.97% (-0.369 -0.37)57.03% (0.365 0.37)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.02% (-0.17399999999999 -0.17)11.98% (0.172 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.61% (-0.37 -0.37)37.39% (0.367 0.37)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.57% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)29.43% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.58% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)65.42% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 57.96%
    Newport County 21.4%
    Draw 20.63%
WrexhamDrawNewport County
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.94% (0.024 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.48% (0.073 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.87% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.61% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.2% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.64% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.98% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.23% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.55% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.26% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-2 @ 0.95% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-3 @ 0.91% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 57.96%
1-1 @ 9.15% (0.074 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 3.52% (0.058 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.71% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 20.63%
1-2 @ 5.6% (0.036 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.31% (0.064 0.06)
0-2 @ 2.64% (0.035 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.28% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.08% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 21.4%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Newport

Wrexham
84.2%
Draw
0.0%
Newport County
15.8%
19
Head to Head
Dec 11, 2018 7.45pm
Second Round Replays
Newport
4-0
Wrexham
Amond (49'), Matt (59'), Carrington (65' og.), Butler (90')
Butler (16'), Pipe (56')

Pearson (16'), Lainton (16'), Fondop-Talom (81')
Young (12')
Dec 1, 2018 8pm
Second Round
Wrexham
0-0
Newport
Walker (65')
Sheehan (39'), O'Brien (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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