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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 47.69%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.99%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | Stockport County |
29.02% ( -0.04) | 23.29% ( 0.01) | 47.69% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 60.96% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.76% ( -0.06) | 40.24% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.39% ( -0.06) | 62.61% ( 0.07) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.57% ( -0.06) | 26.43% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.39% ( -0.08) | 61.61% ( 0.08) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.86% ( -0.01) | 17.14% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.63% ( -0.02) | 47.37% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | Stockport County |
2-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.01% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 29.02% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.29% | 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.51% 0-3 @ 4.14% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.43% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.83% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.62% ( -0) Other @ 4.07% Total : 47.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 46 |
3 | Port Vale | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 44 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Notts County | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 43 |
6 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Salford City | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 41 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 35 |
11 | Bromley | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
12 | MK Dons | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 34 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 33 |
14 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
16 | Gillingham | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 30 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 28 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 28 |
20 | Newport CountyNewport | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 26 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |