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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 17
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Stockport County

Swindon
2 - 4
Stockport

Kemp (31'), Young (61')
Mahoney (51'), Khan (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Collar (52' pen.), Wootton (69'), Bailey (72'), Camps (89')
Sarcevic (17'), Wootton (45+5')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Stockport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Colchester 3-1 Swindon
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in League Two

Stockport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Stockport 5-1 Worksop
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 38.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.62%) and 0-2 (5.27%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawStockport County
38.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 23.5% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 38.39% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 63.4% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.63% (0.022000000000006 0.02)38.36% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.35% (0.022999999999996 0.02)60.65% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55% (0.007000000000005 0.01)20.44% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.11% (0.014999999999993 0.01)52.89% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.69% (0.012 0.01)20.3% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.32% (0.020000000000003 0.02)52.67% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 38.11%
    Stockport County 38.39%
    Draw 23.5%
Swindon TownDrawStockport County
2-1 @ 8.34% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 6.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.52% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3%
Total : 38.11%
1-1 @ 10.5%
2-2 @ 6.65% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.87% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.5%
1-2 @ 8.37%
0-1 @ 6.62% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 5.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.45% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 3.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.8%
1-4 @ 1.77% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 38.39%

How you voted: Swindon vs Stockport

Swindon Town
33.3%
Draw
0.0%
Stockport County
66.7%
6
Head to Head
Mar 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 38
Swindon
0-1
Stockport
Croasdale (80')
> Preview
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
First Round
Stockport
4-0
Swindon
Sarcevic (11', 29'), Wright (16'), Rydel (58')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Stockport
1-1
Swindon
Sarcevic (84')
Brown (52'), Jennings (66')
Madden (80')
Blake-Tracy (49')
Blake-Tracy (50'), Reed (70')
Feb 23, 2010 3pm
Swindon
4-1
Stockport
Ferry (74'), Ward (4'), Paynter (45', 79')
Morrison (66')
Tansey (45')
Jan 19, 2010 3pm
Stockport
0-1
Swindon

Pilkington (72'), Swailes (90'), Rose (90')
Paynter (73' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137
> League Two Full Table


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