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Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 17
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Stockport County

Swindon
2 - 4
Stockport

Kemp (31'), Young (61')
Mahoney (51'), Khan (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Collar (52' pen.), Wootton (69'), Bailey (72'), Camps (89')
Sarcevic (17'), Wootton (45+5')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Stockport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colchester 3-1 Swindon
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 38.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.62%) and 0-2 (5.27%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawStockport County
38.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 23.5% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 38.39% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 63.4% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.63% (0.022000000000006 0.02)38.36% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.35% (0.022999999999996 0.02)60.65% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55% (0.007000000000005 0.01)20.44% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.11% (0.014999999999993 0.01)52.89% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.69% (0.012 0.01)20.3% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.32% (0.020000000000003 0.02)52.67% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 38.11%
    Stockport County 38.39%
    Draw 23.5%
Swindon TownDrawStockport County
2-1 @ 8.34% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 6.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.52% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3%
Total : 38.11%
1-1 @ 10.5%
2-2 @ 6.65% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.87% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.5%
1-2 @ 8.37%
0-1 @ 6.62% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 5.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.45% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 3.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.8%
1-4 @ 1.77% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 38.39%

How you voted: Swindon vs Stockport

Swindon Town
33.3%
Draw
0.0%
Stockport County
66.7%
6
Head to Head
Mar 25, 2023 3pm
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
First Round
Stockport
4-0
Swindon
Sarcevic (11', 29'), Wright (16'), Rydel (58')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Stockport
1-1
Swindon
Sarcevic (84')
Brown (52'), Jennings (66')
Madden (80')
Blake-Tracy (49')
Blake-Tracy (50'), Reed (70')
Feb 23, 2010 3pm
Swindon
4-1
Stockport
Ferry (74'), Ward (4'), Paynter (45', 79')
Morrison (66')
Tansey (45')
Jan 19, 2010 3pm
Stockport
0-1
Swindon

Pilkington (72'), Swailes (90'), Rose (90')
Paynter (73' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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