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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Wrexham |
28.27% ( -0.24) | 23.62% ( -0.37) | 48.11% ( 0.61) |
Both teams to score 59.24% ( 1.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.74% ( 1.51) | 42.25% ( -1.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.34% ( 1.5) | 64.66% ( -1.5) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.03% ( 0.6) | 27.97% ( -0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.39% ( 0.76) | 63.6% ( -0.77) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.25% ( 0.82) | 17.75% ( -0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.56% ( 1.41) | 48.43% ( -1.42) |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Wrexham |
2-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.32) 2-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.79% Total : 28.27% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.34) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.61% | 1-2 @ 9.45% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.35) 0-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 5.45% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 4.28% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.16) 1-4 @ 2.35% ( 0.13) 0-4 @ 1.85% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.76% Total : 48.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
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