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Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 20
Nov 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
CNG Stadium
Wrexham AFC

Harrogate
2 - 2
Wrexham

Cornelius (45'), O'Connor (47')
March (22'), Cornelius (45+4')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Cannon (36'), Lee (41')
Tozer (63'), Hayden (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 6-0 Morecambe
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Harrogate Town 0-2 Wrexham

Harrogate were arguably the better side in the contest against Crawley despite defeat, although Tuesday's test against Wrexham will be significantly sterner as the Sulphurites look to banish their awful home form. The Red Dragons were at their ruthless best on Saturday and will be confident of recording back-to-back wins at the expense of a side who have struggled in front of their own fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawWrexham
28.27% (-0.243 -0.24) 23.62% (-0.365 -0.37) 48.11% (0.605 0.61)
Both teams to score 59.24% (1.086 1.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.74% (1.514 1.51)42.25% (-1.516 -1.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.34% (1.497 1.5)64.66% (-1.501 -1.5)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.03% (0.602 0.6)27.97% (-0.605 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.39% (0.764 0.76)63.6% (-0.766 -0.77)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.25% (0.824 0.82)17.75% (-0.828 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.56% (1.411 1.41)48.43% (-1.415 -1.42)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 28.27%
    Wrexham 48.11%
    Draw 23.61%
Harrogate TownDrawWrexham
2-1 @ 6.97% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-0 @ 6.33% (-0.324 -0.32)
2-0 @ 4.03% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-1 @ 2.96% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.093 0.09)
3-0 @ 1.71% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 0.94% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 28.27%
1-1 @ 10.93% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-2 @ 6.02% (0.121 0.12)
0-0 @ 4.96% (-0.344 -0.34)
3-3 @ 1.47% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.61%
1-2 @ 9.45% (0.032 0.03)
0-1 @ 8.58% (-0.353 -0.35)
0-2 @ 7.42% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-3 @ 5.45% (0.161 0.16)
0-3 @ 4.28% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 3.47% (0.16 0.16)
1-4 @ 2.35% (0.13 0.13)
0-4 @ 1.85% (0.072 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.5% (0.107 0.11)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 48.11%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Wrexham

Harrogate Town
0.0%
Draw
14.3%
Wrexham
85.7%
21
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Harrogate
2-1
Wrexham
Power (73'), Orsi-Dadamo (78')
Ponticelli (38')
McAlinden (65'), French (75')
Jan 25, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 38
Harrogate
0-2
Wrexham

Diamond (56')
Jennings (11'), Hooper (73')
Jarvis (32'), Lainton (76')
Oct 8, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Wrexham
1-1
Harrogate
Grant (6')
Pearson (82'), Barnum-Bobb (90')
Fallowfield (80')
Bradley (30'), Burrell (31'), Smith (51'), Smith (59'), Beck (76')
Apr 27, 2019 12.30pm
Gameweek 56
Wrexham
2-1
Harrogate
Oswell (42'), Deverdics (80')
Agustien (45')
Beck (11')
Kitching (77')
Sep 25, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Harrogate
0-0
Wrexham
Howe (23')
Walker (47'), Fondop-Talom (57')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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