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Walsall
Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 18
Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
CNG Stadium
Swindon Town

Harrogate
1 - 1
Swindon

Muldoon (65')
Dooley (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Young (25')
Kinsella (27'), Kokolo (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 2-4 Stockport
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Harrogate Town 2-1 Swindon Town

Although their places in the table indicate two well-matched teams, that is not the case when it comes to form. While Swindon may turn things around at some stage, we are backing Harrogate to collect another victory that will move them closer to the top seven. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 55.02%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 23.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.76%) and 0-1 (7.72%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawSwindon Town
23.45% (-1.768 -1.77) 21.53% (-0.786 -0.79) 55.02% (2.553 2.55)
Both teams to score 61.77% (0.72900000000001 0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.23% (1.876 1.88)36.77% (-1.878 -1.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.07% (2.01 2.01)58.93% (-2.012 -2.01)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.33% (-0.366 -0.37)28.67% (0.364 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.51% (-0.459 -0.46)64.49% (0.45700000000001 0.46)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.6% (1.456 1.46)13.4% (-1.459 -1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.67% (2.85 2.85)40.33% (-2.852 -2.85)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 23.45%
    Swindon Town 55.02%
    Draw 21.53%
Harrogate TownDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 6.03% (-0.36 -0.36)
1-0 @ 4.8% (-0.509 -0.51)
2-0 @ 3% (-0.352 -0.35)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.51% (-0.177 -0.18)
3-0 @ 1.25% (-0.161 -0.16)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 23.45%
1-1 @ 9.65% (-0.464 -0.46)
2-2 @ 6.06% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.84% (-0.364 -0.36)
3-3 @ 1.69% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.53%
1-2 @ 9.7% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 7.76% (0.116 0.12)
0-1 @ 7.72% (-0.296 -0.3)
1-3 @ 6.5% (0.363 0.36)
0-3 @ 5.2% (0.34 0.34)
2-3 @ 4.06% (0.187 0.19)
1-4 @ 3.27% (0.341 0.34)
0-4 @ 2.61% (0.296 0.3)
2-4 @ 2.04% (0.194 0.19)
1-5 @ 1.31% (0.198 0.2)
0-5 @ 1.05% (0.167 0.17)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 55.02%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Swindon

Harrogate Town
16.7%
Draw
66.7%
Swindon Town
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Swindon
3-0
Harrogate
Hepburn-Murphy (8', 40'), Tomlinson (78')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Harrogate
3-0
Swindon
Pattison (43'), Daly (51'), Muldoon (76')
Burrell (10'), Dooley (28'), Austerfield (61')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Harrogate
1-4
Swindon
Armstrong (90+4')
Austerfield (90+1')
Barry (24', 30'), Davison (51', 63')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 19
Swindon
1-1
Harrogate
Payne (83' pen.)
Odimayo (90+6'), Iandolo (90+6')
Diamond (24')
Falkingham (66'), Page (75'), Hall (90+7')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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