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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
CNG Stadium
Crewe Alexandra

Harrogate
0 - 1
Crewe


Sutton (45'), McDonald (90+6'), Folarin (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Williams (31')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Crewe Alexandra.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 0-2 Stockport
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 50.22%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.66%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
27.21% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 22.57% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 50.22% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Both teams to score 62.09% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.89% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)38.11% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.62% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)60.38% (0.102 0.1)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.42% (-0.10000000000001 -0.1)26.58% (0.104 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.2% (-0.132 -0.13)61.8% (0.136 0.14)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.57% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)15.43% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.74% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)44.26% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 27.21%
    Crewe Alexandra 50.22%
    Draw 22.56%
Harrogate TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
2-1 @ 6.73% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.43% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.6% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.97% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.59% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 27.21%
1-1 @ 10.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.29% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.1% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.73% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.56%
1-2 @ 9.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.66% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.16% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 4.46% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.92% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.76%
0-4 @ 2.09% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.83% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 50.22%

Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 33
Harrogate
2-2
Crewe
Muldoon (34'), Olaigbe (52')
Agyei (83' pen.), Uwakwe (89')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Crewe
3-0
Harrogate
Agyei (44'), Mellor (45+3'), Baker-Richardson (77')
Sambou (65'), Uwakwe (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2411763428640
4Salford City2311662819939
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe2310942921839
6Port Vale2410862724338
7Notts County23107636261037
8Grimsby Town24121113537-237
9Bradford CityBradford239863026435
10Chesterfield249783829934
11Bromley2381053426834
12MK Dons2210483630634
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow237792324-128
16Colchester UnitedColchester2351262826227
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Swindon TownSwindon2459103139-824
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2257103040-1022
21Tranmere RoversTranmere2257101632-1622
22Harrogate TownHarrogate2464141937-1822
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2346131937-1818


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