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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 50.22%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.66%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
27.21% ( -0.08) | 22.57% ( 0.01) | 50.22% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 62.09% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.89% ( -0.09) | 38.11% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.62% ( -0.1) | 60.38% ( 0.1) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.42% ( -0.1) | 26.58% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.2% ( -0.13) | 61.8% ( 0.14) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.57% ( -0.01) | 15.43% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.74% ( -0.02) | 44.26% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
2-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.6% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 27.21% | 1-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.56% | 1-2 @ 9.49% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 5.91% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.46% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.76% 0-4 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.9% Total : 50.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 52 |
2 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 40 |
4 | Salford City | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 39 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 39 |
6 | Port Vale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 38 |
7 | Notts County | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 37 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 24 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 37 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 35 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | Bromley | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 34 |
12 | MK Dons | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 28 |
16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 23 | 5 | 12 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 27 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 24 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 22 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 22 |
22 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 22 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |