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Scottish Premiership
Hearts logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 21
Jan 2, 2025 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Motherwell logo

Hearts
1 - 0
Motherwell

Drammeh (7')
Forrester (66'), Devlin (67'), Grant (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Casey (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Ross County 2-2 Hearts
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Motherwell

All competitions
Last Game: Motherwell 2-2 Rangers
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 1-2 Motherwell

 After seemingly recovering from a woeful start, Hearts have slipped back into a rut, with bottom-of-the-table St Johnstone the only team they have managed to beat in six games. Motherwell will be keen to show what they can do against similar-level opponents after giving Rangers a very tough afternoon at the weekend, and with the form of Stamatelopoulos, goals are almost assured against a leaky Hearts defence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 57.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 20.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hearts in this match.

Result
HeartsDrawMotherwell
57.61% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 22.13% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 20.26% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 54.96% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.38% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)43.62% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.99% (-0.067 -0.07)66.01% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.11% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)14.88% (0.048 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.76% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)43.24% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.57% (0.013999999999996 0.01)35.43% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.8% (0.012999999999998 0.01)72.19% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 57.61%
    Motherwell 20.26%
    Draw 22.13%
HeartsDrawMotherwell
1-0 @ 10.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 9.57% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.3% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.08% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 3% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.89% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.14% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.1% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 57.61%
1-1 @ 10.42% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.27% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.13%
0-1 @ 5.47% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.84% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.87% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 0.98% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 20.26%

How you voted: Hearts vs Motherwell

Hearts
45.8%
Draw
10.4%
Motherwell
43.8%
48
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 3
Motherwell
3-1
Hearts
McGinn (24'), O'Donnell (60'), Sparrow (81')
Halliday (42')
Oda (65')
Kent (45+1'), Devlin (58'), Salazar (62'), Kingsley (76')
> Preview
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Hearts
2-0
Motherwell
Shankland (67'), Vargas (90+2')
Shankland (23')

Kettlewell (24'), Zdravkovski (69'), Nicholson (88')
> Preview
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Motherwell
1-2
Hearts
Spittal (78' pen.)
Paton (40'), Slattery (62'), Butcher (79'), Gent (89')
Shankland (27', 71')
Sibbick (86'), Baningime (89')
> Preview
Sep 3, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Hearts
0-1
Motherwell

Devlin (71')
Slattery (29')
McGinn (36'), Casey (71'), Shaw (90')
McGinn (69')
> Preview
Feb 19, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 26
Motherwell
2-0
Hearts
Obika (40'), Spittal (46')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic23193164115360
2RangersRangers23145444182647
3Dundee UnitedDundee Utd2310763124737
4Aberdeen2310583233-135
5Motherwell2394102837-931
6Hibernian237883436-229
7Dundee2376103741-427
8St Mirren2383122738-1127
9Kilmarnock2367102537-1225
10Ross County2367102342-1925
11Hearts2366112531-624
12St Johnstone2343162547-2215
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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