Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | Hearts |
40.87% ( -0.07) | 25.85% ( 0.02) | 33.28% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 54.22% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.04% ( -0.08) | 49.96% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.05% ( -0.07) | 71.94% ( 0.06) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.82% ( -0.07) | 24.18% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.5% ( -0.1) | 58.5% ( 0.1) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.51% ( -0.01) | 28.48% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.74% ( -0.01) | 64.26% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | Hearts |
1-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 40.87% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.84% | 0-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.71% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.69% Total : 33.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | RangersRangers | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 24 |
7 | Dundee | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
10 | Ross County | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |