Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 49.06%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Livingston win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Hearts | Draw | Livingston |
49.06% ( -0.36) | 23.39% ( 0.06) | 27.56% ( 0.3) |
Both teams to score 59.48% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.3% ( -0.05) | 41.7% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.9% ( -0.05) | 64.1% ( 0.06) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.83% ( -0.15) | 17.17% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.57% ( -0.27) | 47.43% ( 0.27) |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.81% ( 0.19) | 28.19% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.11% ( 0.24) | 63.89% ( -0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Hearts | Draw | Livingston |
2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 4% Total : 49.06% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.39% | 1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.73% Total : 27.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 64 | 11 | 53 | 60 |
2 | RangersRangers | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 47 | 19 | 28 | 50 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 37 |
4 | Aberdeen | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 35 |
5 | Hibernian | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 33 |
6 | Motherwell | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 31 |
7 | Hearts | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 30 |
8 | St Mirren | 25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 30 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 28 |
10 | Dundee | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 27 |
11 | Ross County | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 26 |
12 | St Johnstone | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 21 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |