Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 48.78%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Livingston win was 1-0 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Livingston | Draw | Celtic |
26.61% ( -0.1) | 24.61% ( 0.02) | 48.78% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 54.55% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.17% ( -0.15) | 47.84% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.98% ( -0.14) | 70.02% ( 0.14) |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.89% ( -0.16) | 32.11% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.41% ( -0.18) | 68.59% ( 0.19) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.35% ( -0.02) | 19.65% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.37% ( -0.04) | 51.63% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Livingston | Draw | Celtic |
1-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 26.61% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.6% | 0-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.35% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.15% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.53% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.09% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 48.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | RangersRangers | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 24 |
7 | Dundee | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
10 | Ross County | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |