Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Johnstone would win this match.
Result | ||
St Johnstone | Draw | Livingston |
43.96% ( 0.07) | 26.42% ( -0.07) | 29.62% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.93% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.46% ( 0.29) | 53.54% ( -0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.95% ( 0.24) | 75.05% ( -0.24) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.79% ( 0.16) | 24.21% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.45% ( 0.23) | 58.55% ( -0.23) |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.19% ( 0.16) | 32.81% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.63% ( 0.17) | 69.37% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
St Johnstone | Draw | Livingston |
1-0 @ 11.26% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 43.95% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.42% | 0-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 29.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 44 |
2 | RangersRangers | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 25 |
6 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 24 |
7 | Dundee | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
10 | Hearts | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Ross County | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 15 |
12 | St Johnstone | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |