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Celtic logo
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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 4
May 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Fir Park
Hearts logo

Motherwell
2 - 1
Hearts

Efford (3'), Lamie (56')
Slattery (50')
FT(HT: 1-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celtic 6-0 Motherwell
Saturday, May 14 at 12.15pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 2-0 Hearts
Saturday, May 21 at 3pm in Scottish Cup

We said: Motherwell 1-2 Hearts

Possessing the greater motivation to get three points on the board, Motherwell will be classed as the marginal favourites for this contest by some. However, Hearts will want to bounce back from the Celtic defeat, leading us to predict a narrow win for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
MotherwellDrawHearts
30.27% (5.033 5.03) 24.86% (0.833 0.83) 44.88% (-5.869 -5.87)
Both teams to score 56.3% (1.138 1.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.29% (-0.289 -0.29)46.7% (0.286 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.03% (-0.271 -0.27)68.97% (0.267 0.27)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.15% (3.611 3.61)28.85% (-3.614 -3.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.29% (4.272 4.27)64.71% (-4.274 -4.27)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.13% (-2.548 -2.55)20.87% (2.545 2.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.44% (-4.15 -4.15)53.56% (4.147 4.15)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 30.27%
    Hearts 44.88%
    Draw 24.85%
MotherwellDrawHearts
1-0 @ 7.48% (0.792 0.79)
2-1 @ 7.29% (0.9 0.9)
2-0 @ 4.65% (0.887 0.89)
3-1 @ 3.02% (0.624 0.62)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.333 0.33)
3-0 @ 1.93% (0.515 0.52)
4-1 @ 0.94% (0.264 0.26)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 30.27%
1-1 @ 11.72% (0.37 0.37)
0-0 @ 6.02% (0.072 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.71% (0.29 0.29)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.85%
0-1 @ 9.43% (-0.657 -0.66)
1-2 @ 9.19% (-0.449 -0.45)
0-2 @ 7.39% (-1.174 -1.17)
1-3 @ 4.8% (-0.652 -0.65)
0-3 @ 3.86% (-0.985 -0.99)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.084 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.88% (-0.433 -0.43)
0-4 @ 1.51% (-0.543 -0.54)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 44.88%

How you voted: Motherwell vs Hearts

Motherwell
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Hearts
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Hearts
2-0
Motherwell
Halliday (37'), Simms (58')
Haring (68')

Kelly (4'), Goss (80')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Motherwell
2-0
Hearts
Shields (23'), Lamie (66')
Watt (90+4')

Moore (48')
Moore (64')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Hearts
2-0
Motherwell
Boyce (5' pen.), Kingsley (22')
Devlin (43'), Moore (75'), Baningime (83')

Ojala (11'), Grimshaw (18'), McGinley (90+2')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Hearts
1-1
Motherwell
Washington (49')
Dikamona (61'), Hickey (90+4')
Long (21')
Maguire (39'), Aarons (58'), O'Hara (79')
Dec 7, 2019 3pm
Motherwell
1-0
Hearts
Long (40')
Long (66'), Campbell (75'), Donnelly (81')

Berra (62')
Mulraney (92')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1614204444044
2RangersRangers1611232891935
3Aberdeen17104331211034
4Motherwell178272327-426
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd176742519625
6St Mirren187382429-524
7Dundee175482730-319
8Hibernian184682430-618
9Kilmarnock184681935-1618
10Hearts1844102027-716
11Ross County183691435-2115
12St Johnstone1842122134-1314


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