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Scottish Premiership
Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 21
Jan 2, 2025 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
St Mirren logo

Kilmarnock
2 - 0
St Mirren

Anderson (8', 65' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Taylor (21'), Gogic (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Last Game: Hibernian 1-0 Kilmarnock
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

St Mirren

All competitions
Last Game: St Mirren 1-2 Dundee
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 1-1 St Mirren

 In one of the most evenly-matched fixtures of the matchday in the Premiership, it is tough to separate these two, who have both shown promising signs in recent weeks. Killie had taken eight points from a possible 12 before Sunday's defeat, while St Mirren have won six of their last 10 games, so both sides should feel confident of taking something. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawSt Mirren
39.05% (0.194 0.19) 27.06% (0.029 0.03) 33.88% (-0.225 -0.23)
Both teams to score 50.47% (-0.131 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.18% (-0.149 -0.15)54.82% (0.149 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.88% (-0.121 -0.12)76.12% (0.122 0.12)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.63% (0.042000000000002 0.04)27.37% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.16% (0.052999999999997 0.05)62.84% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.49% (-0.22 -0.22)30.5% (0.218 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.28% (-0.26199999999999 -0.26)66.72% (0.262 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 39.04%
    St Mirren 33.88%
    Draw 27.06%
KilmarnockDrawSt Mirren
1-0 @ 10.81% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.32% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.01% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.59% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.03% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.16% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 39.04%
1-1 @ 12.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.35% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.06%
0-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 7.63% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.89% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.02% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.33% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 33.88%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs St Mirren

Kilmarnock
61.8%
Draw
20.6%
St Mirren
17.6%
34
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 5
St Mirren
2-2
Kilmarnock
Olusanya (7'), O'Hara (41' pen.)
Mandron (16'), Taylor (47')
Watkins (11'), Ayunga (71' og.)
Ndaba (21'), Polworth (65'), Watson (90+1')
Wright (45+5')
> Preview
May 11, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 36
St Mirren
0-1
Kilmarnock
Vassell (37')
Armstrong (70'), Dennis (85')
> Preview
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Kilmarnock
5-2
St Mirren
Vassell (61', 73'), Armstrong (65' pen.), Watkins (68'), Watson (79')
Donnelly (63'), Kennedy (75'), Watson (86')
Dunne (20'), Mandron (39')
O'Hara (59')
> Preview
Dec 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
St Mirren
0-1
Kilmarnock

Taylor (33'), Gogic (59'), Baccus (88')
Watkins (25')
Findlay (74'), Deas (86')
> Preview
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
Kilmarnock
1-1
St Mirren
Lyons (19')
Cameron (45'), Watson (90+4')
Magennis (31' og.)
Baccus (55'), Strain (72'), Olusanya (85')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic23193164115360
2RangersRangers23145444182647
3Dundee UnitedDundee Utd2310763124737
4Aberdeen2310583233-135
5Motherwell2394102837-931
6Hibernian237883436-229
7Dundee2376103741-427
8St Mirren2383122738-1127
9Kilmarnock2367102537-1225
10Ross County2367102342-1925
11Hearts2366112531-624
12St Johnstone2343162547-2215
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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