Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Celtic had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.5%) and 2-0 (5.49%). The likeliest Celtic win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
Result | ||
Rangers | Draw | Celtic |
40.95% ( -0.85) | 23.15% ( 0) | 35.9% ( 0.84) |
Both teams to score 64.54% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.19% ( 0.14) | 36.81% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.02% ( 0.15) | 58.98% ( -0.16) |
Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.51% ( -0.3) | 18.49% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.3% ( -0.51) | 49.69% ( 0.51) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.17% ( 0.49) | 20.83% ( -0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.5% ( 0.77) | 53.5% ( -0.77) |
Score Analysis |
Rangers | Draw | Celtic |
2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.67% Total : 40.95% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.15% | 1-2 @ 8% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.93% Total : 35.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 64 | 11 | 53 | 60 |
2 | RangersRangers | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 47 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 37 |
4 | Aberdeen | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 35 |
5 | Motherwell | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 31 |
6 | Hibernian | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 29 |
7 | Dundee | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 27 |
8 | St Mirren | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 27 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 25 |
10 | Ross County | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 25 |
11 | Hearts | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 24 |
12 | St Johnstone | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |