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Carlisle United
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 14, 2023 at 7pm UK
Brunton Park
Harrogate Town

Carlisle
2 - 0
Harrogate

Gibson (3', 79')
Garner (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Carlisle United and Harrogate Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Carlisle 0-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One

Harrogate Town

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Walsall 0-1 Harrogate
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 46.3%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 27.68% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawHarrogate Town
46.3% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 26.02% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 27.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.96% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.07% (0.012 0.01)52.93% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.47% (0.010000000000002 0.01)74.53% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.17% (0.007000000000005 0.01)22.83% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.45% (0.013999999999996 0.01)56.55% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.03%33.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.36%70.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 46.3%
    Harrogate Town 27.68%
    Draw 26.01%
Carlisle UnitedDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 11.45%
2-1 @ 9.13% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.46% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.17% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.54% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 46.3%
1-1 @ 12.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.75% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 8.37% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
1-2 @ 6.68% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.4%
2-3 @ 1.78%
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 27.68%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Harrogate

Carlisle United
53.8%
Draw
23.1%
Harrogate Town
23.1%
13
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2023 7.45pm
First Round
Harrogate
1-0
Carlisle
Folarin (23')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Carlisle
0-1
Harrogate
Huntington (82' og.)
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Harrogate
3-3
Carlisle
Armstrong (28'), Burrell (60'), Headley (76')
Charters (12'), Edmondson (50'), Moxon (90+3')
> Preview
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Harrogate
3-0
Carlisle
Diamond (18', 90+1'), McArdle (27')
Austerfield (66'), Sheron (70'), (72')

Devine (35'), Feeney (56')
Jan 4, 2022 7pm
Third Round
Harrogate
1-0
Carlisle
Armstrong (7')
Diarra (32'), Diamond (73')

Dickenson (33')
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