We said: Saint-Etienne 2-1 Nantes
Having been knocked out of the Coupe de France by Marseille in December, the hosts will be more fresh than a Nantes team that played in the cup in midweek. Therefore, we think that St Etienne will win a close game against a side that struggle to win matches on their travels. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Nantes |
34.61% ( -0.32) | 25.78% ( -0.03) | 39.61% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 54.78% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.61% ( 0.1) | 49.39% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.56% ( 0.09) | 71.43% ( -0.09) |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.62% ( -0.14) | 27.38% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.15% ( -0.18) | 62.85% ( 0.19) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.43% ( 0.23) | 24.57% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.94% ( 0.32) | 59.05% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
Saint-Etienne 34.61%
Nantes 39.61%
Draw 25.78%
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Nantes |
| 1-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.96% Total : 34.61% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.59% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.02% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.82% Total : 39.61% |
How you voted: St Etienne vs Nantes
Saint-Etienne
55.0%Draw
35.0%Nantes
10.0%40
Head to Head
Sep 29, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 6
Nantes
2-2
St Etienne
May 21, 2022 8pm
Dec 22, 2021 8pm
Feb 3, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 23
St Etienne
1-1
Nantes
