Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AVS win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Nacional has a probability of 34.12% and a draw has a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AVS win is 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Nacional win is 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.48%).
Result | ||
Nacional | Draw | AVS |
34.12% ( -2.49) | 26.25% ( -0.11) | 39.63% ( 2.59) |
Both teams to score 53.12% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.53% ( 0.21) | 51.46% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.72% ( 0.18) | 73.27% ( -0.19) |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.3% ( -1.4) | 28.69% ( 1.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.48% ( -1.79) | 64.52% ( 1.79) |
AVS Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.5% ( 1.54) | 25.5% ( -1.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.65% ( 2.06) | 60.34% ( -2.06) |
Score Analysis |
Nacional | Draw | AVS |
1-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.45) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.52) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.28) 3-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.32) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.65% Total : 34.12% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.24% | 0-1 @ 10% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.33) 0-2 @ 6.83% ( 0.52) 1-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.31) 0-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.36) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.16) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.46% Total : 39.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
3 | Benfica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |