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Coupe de France | Round of 32
Jan 14, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Armand-Cesari
Nice

Bastia
vs.
Nice

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Coupe de France clash between Bastia and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bastia

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Bastia 4-0 Ajaccio
Saturday, January 11 at 1pm in Ligue 2

Nice

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Reims 2-4 Nice
Saturday, January 11 at 6pm in Ligue 1

We say: Bastia 1-3 Nice

 Although a cup tie, Bastia and Nice's recent matches have produced goals, and Tuesday's should be no different. Regardless, the Eaglets' superior quality should see them end their three-match winless run against the Ligue 2 side and advance to the last 16. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nice win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Bastia has a probability of 35.07% and a draw has a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Bastia win is 1-0 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.74%).

Result
BastiaDrawNice
35.07% (0.088000000000001 0.09) 26.82% (0.446 0.45) 38.11% (-0.53100000000001 -0.53)
Both teams to score 51.42% (-1.426 -1.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.3% (-1.814 -1.81)53.7% (1.817 1.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.81% (-1.55 -1.55)75.19% (1.553 1.55)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.81% (-0.82899999999999 -0.83)29.19% (0.832 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.86% (-1.035 -1.04)65.13% (1.038 1.04)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.61% (-1.149 -1.15)27.38% (1.152 1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.15% (-1.512 -1.51)62.85% (1.515 1.51)
Score Analysis
    Bastia 35.07%
    Nice 38.1%
    Draw 26.81%
BastiaDrawNice
1-0 @ 9.84% (0.467 0.47)
2-1 @ 7.85% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.06% (0.152 0.15)
3-1 @ 3.22% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-0 @ 2.49% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.136 -0.14)
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 35.07%
1-1 @ 12.74% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 7.99% (0.554 0.55)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.206 -0.21)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 10.35% (0.395 0.4)
1-2 @ 8.26% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-2 @ 6.71% (0.044 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.57% (-0.179 -0.18)
0-3 @ 2.9% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.164 -0.16)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-4 @ 0.94% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 38.1%

Who will win Tuesday's Coupe de France clash between Bastia and Nice?

Bastia
Draw
Nice
Bastia
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Nice
100%
1
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2017 7.45pm
Bastia
1-1
Nice
Oniangue (17')
Cahuzac (56'), Mostefa (91')
Cahuzac (64')
Souquet (33')
Nov 27, 2016 4pm
Nice
1-1
Bastia
Plea (11')
Crivelli (60')
Bifouma (29'), Cahuzac (45'), Nangis (77')
Feb 26, 2016 7.30pm
Nice
0-2
Bastia

Koziello (16'), Le Marchand (55'), Traore (66')
Baysse (57')
Diallo (61'), Ayite (64')
Mostefa (24'), Modesto (26'), Cahuzac (56'), Danic (69'), Djiku (72')
Sep 19, 2015 7pm
Bastia
1-3
Nice
Danic (23')
Marange (88')
Mendy (33'), Germain (40'), Benrahma (94')
Mallmann (85'), Pied (87')
> Match Report
Mar 7, 2015 7pm
Bastia
2-1
Nice
Gillet (26'), Sio (68')
Sio (3'), Diakite (8'), Cahuzac (52')
Eduardo (18')
Diawara (14'), Hult (27'), Amavi (77')
Puel (44'), Diawara (83')
> Match Report
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